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USFD:NYSEUS Foods Holding Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-16 - not real-time

$92.01

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At $92.01, US Foods Holding Corp. shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 7.7%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 22.9 (oversold) with MACD reading bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $90.19 and resistance at $111.28.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 29.1. Consensus targets land 25.9% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 4.5% on a 1.8% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 30.8%, a beta of 0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 21.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on buy — conviction 5 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Food distribution giant US Foods NYSE:USFD reported revenue ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in Q2 CY2026, with...US Foods Holding Corp. stock is underpinned by a recent earnings beat and detailed 2026 EPS guidanceUS Foods stock is benefiting from solid Q2 2026 earnings momentum and a strong year-to-date return,

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • RSI at 22.9 signals oversold conditions
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 91.06

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • RSI at 22.9 signals oversold conditions
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 91.06

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +25.9% versus the current price
  • P/E ratio of 29.1
  • Return on equity of 16.4%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.50%
Profit Margin1.81%
P/E Ratio29.1
ROE16.35%
ROA5.83%
Debt/Equity126.31
P/B Ratio4.7
Op. Cash Flow$1.4B
Free Cash Flow$805.1M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI22.9
Support$90.19
Resistance$111.28
MA 20$103.89
MA 50$102.67
MA 200$91.06
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.71

Valuation

Fair Value$30.85
Target Price$115.88
Upside/Downside25.94%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility30.81%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.