UNTR:IDXPT United Tractors Tbk Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
IDR 29,075.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
United Tractors appears significantly undervalued relative to its intrinsic DCF estimate, offering a clear margin of safety for investors. The stock trades at a low price‑to‑earnings multiple and a price‑to‑book ratio close to parity, while delivering a high dividend yield supported by a comfortable payout ratio and robust cash flow generation. Fundamentals show solid profitability margins and a respectable return on equity, despite recent revenue contraction, and analysts collectively maintain a buy stance.
On the technical side, the price is positioned above the long‑term moving average but below the short‑term averages, with a bearish MACD divergence and decreasing volume, suggesting short‑term consolidation near a key support level. The broader market sentiment leans toward greed, and the sector’s cyclical nature adds a moderate risk overlay, but the combination of valuation upside, dividend attractiveness, and low beta points to a favorable risk‑adjusted profile for medium to long horizons.
On the technical side, the price is positioned above the long‑term moving average but below the short‑term averages, with a bearish MACD divergence and decreasing volume, suggesting short‑term consolidation near a key support level. The broader market sentiment leans toward greed, and the sector’s cyclical nature adds a moderate risk overlay, but the combination of valuation upside, dividend attractiveness, and low beta points to a favorable risk‑adjusted profile for medium to long horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating momentum weakness
- Price testing a near‑term support level
- Decreasing trading volume suggesting limited upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Bullish trend direction supported by long‑term moving average
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Diversified exposure to construction, mining and equipment sectors
- Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
- Consistent cash flow generation to fund dividends and growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-11.60%
Profit Margin11.28%
P/E Ratio7.1
ROE15.08%
ROA7.86%
Debt/Equity18.34
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowIDR27143.4B
Free Cash FlowIDR11276.7B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI49.1
SupportIDR 28,475.00
ResistanceIDR 31,500.00
MA 20IDR 29,746.25
MA 50IDR 29,103.00
MA 200IDR 26,263.13
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueIDR 44,278.41
Target PriceIDR 31,879.17
Upside/Downside9.64%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.05%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.49
Volatility52.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.