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UNTR:IDXPT United Tractors Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

IDR 29,075.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

United Tractors appears significantly undervalued relative to its intrinsic DCF estimate, offering a clear margin of safety for investors. The stock trades at a low price‑to‑earnings multiple and a price‑to‑book ratio close to parity, while delivering a high dividend yield supported by a comfortable payout ratio and robust cash flow generation. Fundamentals show solid profitability margins and a respectable return on equity, despite recent revenue contraction, and analysts collectively maintain a buy stance.
On the technical side, the price is positioned above the long‑term moving average but below the short‑term averages, with a bearish MACD divergence and decreasing volume, suggesting short‑term consolidation near a key support level. The broader market sentiment leans toward greed, and the sector’s cyclical nature adds a moderate risk overlay, but the combination of valuation upside, dividend attractiveness, and low beta points to a favorable risk‑adjusted profile for medium to long horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating momentum weakness
  • Price testing a near‑term support level
  • Decreasing trading volume suggesting limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Bullish trend direction supported by long‑term moving average

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified exposure to construction, mining and equipment sectors
  • Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
  • Consistent cash flow generation to fund dividends and growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-11.60%
Profit Margin11.28%
P/E Ratio7.1
ROE15.08%
ROA7.86%
Debt/Equity18.34
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowIDR27143.4B
Free Cash FlowIDR11276.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.1
SupportIDR 28,475.00
ResistanceIDR 31,500.00
MA 20IDR 29,746.25
MA 50IDR 29,103.00
MA 200IDR 26,263.13
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueIDR 44,278.41
Target PriceIDR 31,879.17
Upside/Downside9.64%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.05%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility52.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.