UNP:NYSEUnion Pacific Corporation Analysis

Union Pacific is trading at $253.61, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of 262.5 but comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of 244.9 and the 200‑day SMA of 230.8, indicating a medium‑term bullish bias despite a short‑term pullback. The RSI of 46 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, pointing to possible near‑term downside pressure. Volume trends are decreasing, and the price is hovering just above the identified support level of $247.6, with the next resistance at $268.1, framing a modest upside corridor.
Fundamentally, UNP delivers a robust operating margin of 40.9% and an impressive ROE of 40%, supported by $9.3 B of operating cash flow and a sustainable payout ratio of 45% on a 2.17% dividend yield. The forward P/E of 18.8 is well below the industry average of 29.5, suggesting relative value, though a high price‑to‑book multiple of 8.1 and a DCF fair value of $38.5 flag potential overvaluation on a pure intrinsic basis. Analyst sentiment remains positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating, recent upgrades to Outperform, and a median 12‑month price target near $272, implying roughly 7% upside.