UNOMINDA:NSEUNOMINDA FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-16 - not real-time
₹1,121.80
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Uno Minda Limited is trading at INR 1,121.8, comfortably above the computed support of INR 1,066 but still below the 20‑day SMA of INR 1,131, indicating a modest upside cushion. The 50‑day SMA sits at INR 1,095, placing the current price in a narrow band between short‑term averages, while the 200‑day SMA remains higher at INR 1,200, underscoring a longer‑term downtrend bias. Technical momentum is mixed: the RSI of 50.1 signals a neutral stance, yet the MACD histogram is negative with a bearish signal line crossover, suggesting short‑term pressure. Volatility is elevated at roughly 35% over the past 30 days, and the market sentiment index reads Extreme Greed (88.5), hinting at bullish enthusiasm despite the technical caution.
Given the stable volume profile, a negative beta (‑0.35) implying inverse correlation to broader market moves, and a balanced supply‑demand backdrop, the stock presents a nuanced risk‑reward profile: upside potential if sentiment sustains, but susceptibility to rapid reversals amid high volatility.
Given the stable volume profile, a negative beta (‑0.35) implying inverse correlation to broader market moves, and a balanced supply‑demand backdrop, the stock presents a nuanced risk‑reward profile: upside potential if sentiment sustains, but susceptibility to rapid reversals amid high volatility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering above support but below the 20‑day SMA
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term pressure
- High short‑term volatility amplifying downside risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Neutral RSI leaves room for upside momentum
- Extreme greed sentiment supporting bullish bias
- Stable volume and moderate beta providing defensive qualities
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental valuation reflects high PE but growth prospects in automotive components
- Balanced supply‑demand outlook reduces structural pressure
- Low geopolitical exposure limits external shock risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price1121.8
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.1
Support₹1,066.30
Resistance₹1,189.70
MA 20₹1,131.04
MA 50₹1,095.05
MA 200₹1,200.28
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.52
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.35
Volatility34.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.