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UNOMINDA:NSEUNOMINDA FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-16 - not real-time

₹1,121.80

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Uno Minda Limited is trading at INR 1,121.8, comfortably above the computed support of INR 1,066 but still below the 20‑day SMA of INR 1,131, indicating a modest upside cushion. The 50‑day SMA sits at INR 1,095, placing the current price in a narrow band between short‑term averages, while the 200‑day SMA remains higher at INR 1,200, underscoring a longer‑term downtrend bias. Technical momentum is mixed: the RSI of 50.1 signals a neutral stance, yet the MACD histogram is negative with a bearish signal line crossover, suggesting short‑term pressure. Volatility is elevated at roughly 35% over the past 30 days, and the market sentiment index reads Extreme Greed (88.5), hinting at bullish enthusiasm despite the technical caution.
Given the stable volume profile, a negative beta (‑0.35) implying inverse correlation to broader market moves, and a balanced supply‑demand backdrop, the stock presents a nuanced risk‑reward profile: upside potential if sentiment sustains, but susceptibility to rapid reversals amid high volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering above support but below the 20‑day SMA
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term pressure
  • High short‑term volatility amplifying downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Neutral RSI leaves room for upside momentum
  • Extreme greed sentiment supporting bullish bias
  • Stable volume and moderate beta providing defensive qualities

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental valuation reflects high PE but growth prospects in automotive components
  • Balanced supply‑demand outlook reduces structural pressure
  • Low geopolitical exposure limits external shock risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price1121.8
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.1
Support₹1,066.30
Resistance₹1,189.70
MA 20₹1,131.04
MA 50₹1,095.05
MA 200₹1,200.28
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.52

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.35
Volatility34.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.