UNI:MILUNIPOL ASSICURAZIONI SPA Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
€19.74
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Unipol Assicurazioni is trading just above its 20‑day simple moving average while remaining below the 50‑day average, a pattern that supports a short‑term bullish bias. Technical momentum is mixed – the RSI sits in the mid‑50s indicating neutral pressure, yet the MACD has turned bearish, hinting at possible near‑term consolidation.
Fundamentally, the stock’s price‑to‑earnings ratio sits well under the industry average, and the dividend yield exceeds four percent with a payout ratio comfortably below fifty percent, suggesting the payout is sustainable. The company’s beta of roughly 0.55 points to lower market‑related volatility, though the 30‑day price volatility is elevated at around forty‑plus percent. Analyst price targets imply roughly a fifteen percent upside, while the DCF‑derived fair value is modestly lower than the current price, indicating the market may already be pricing in some optimism.
Fundamentally, the stock’s price‑to‑earnings ratio sits well under the industry average, and the dividend yield exceeds four percent with a payout ratio comfortably below fifty percent, suggesting the payout is sustainable. The company’s beta of roughly 0.55 points to lower market‑related volatility, though the 30‑day price volatility is elevated at around forty‑plus percent. Analyst price targets imply roughly a fifteen percent upside, while the DCF‑derived fair value is modestly lower than the current price, indicating the market may already be pricing in some optimism.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near the 20‑day SMA indicating short‑term support
- Bearish MACD crossover suggesting caution
- Attractive dividend yield for income‑focused investors
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- PE well below industry average signaling relative undervaluation
- Analyst price targets showing ~15% upside potential
- Sustainable dividend with ample payout capacity
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable earnings growth and solid cash flow generation
- Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
- Exposure to regulatory and geographic concentration in Italy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.60%
Profit Margin6.96%
P/E Ratio9.5
Debt/Equity46.74
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow€1.1B
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI49.7
Support€18.35
Resistance€21.45
MA 20€20.00
MA 50€19.77
MA 200€18.53
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value€15.18
Target Price€22.86
Upside/Downside15.82%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.37%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.55
Volatility42.97%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.