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TWST:NASDAQTwist Bioscience Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time

$91.55

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Twist Bioscience is trading at $91.55, comfortably above its 20‑day ($91.44) and 50‑day ($83.51) moving averages, which supports the algorithmic “bullish” trend label, but the MACD is bearish (line below signal, –1.06 histogram) and volume is on a downtrend, hinting at short‑term weakness. The stock’s beta of ~2.5 and 30‑day volatility of 68% signal a highly volatile, market‑sensitive instrument, while the Fear & Greed Index at 92.9 shows extreme greed in the broader market. Fundamentally, revenue grew 19% YoY to $409 M with a solid 52% gross margin, yet operating margins are –35% and the company burns ~ $58 M of free cash each quarter, leaving a modest cash cushion of $172 M against $111 M of debt. Valuation is stretched – price‑to‑book is 12.5× and price‑to‑sales 13.9×, far above the industry PE average of 29× (TWST reports a negative PE). Analyst sentiment remains positive (Buy consensus, median target $98.5) and recent fund buying (Parnassus Growth Equity) underscores confidence in the AI‑driven synthetic‑DNA market, but Evercore ISI’s downgrade to “In Line” tempers enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume suggest near‑term downside pressure
  • Upcoming Q3 earnings release could trigger volatility
  • Price is near the identified support level of $82.80

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth (19% YoY) and expanding synthetic‑DNA market opportunities
  • Continued cash burn and high leverage increase financial risk
  • Analyst consensus remains a Buy with a median price target above current levels

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for AI‑supported drug discovery and next‑gen sequencing drives long‑term upside
  • Strategic collaborations (e.g., bitBiome) and product diversification broaden revenue base
  • Potential for margin improvement as scale and technology efficiencies materialize

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.30%
Profit Margin-19.85%
P/E Ratio-107.7
ROE-18.16%
ROA-12.93%
Debt/Equity24.36
P/B Ratio12.5
Op. Cash Flow$-55587000
Free Cash Flow$-58482500
Industry P/E29.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.2
Support$82.80
Resistance$104.40
MA 20$91.44
MA 50$83.51
MA 200$52.58
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Target Price$92.50
Upside/Downside1.04%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.50
Volatility67.64%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.