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TTKOM:BISTTURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

TRY 59.45

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Türk Telekom trades at TRY 59.45, comfortably above the identified support of TRY 56.25 but still below its 20‑day SMA of 63.13 and 50‑day SMA of 61.66, suggesting a short‑term price cushion yet a medium‑term pullback risk. Momentum indicators are mixed: RSI sits at 41, indicating modest downside pressure, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line flags a bearish crossover, tempering the bullish trend signaled by the price’s position above the 200‑day SMA (58.74). Volume is accelerating, outpacing both the 10‑day (27.5 M) and 3‑month averages (16.5 M), which supports the current upward bias. The stock’s valuation appears attractive – a trailing PE of 7.79 and a price‑to‑book of 0.85 point to potential undervaluation, especially in a market environment marked by an “Extreme Greed” sentiment (FGI 91.6) and a relatively low beta of –0.14, implying limited correlation with broader market moves. However, a 30‑day volatility of 45% and a max drawdown of –22.9% highlight significant price swings, underscoring the need for disciplined risk management.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above immediate support and rising volume
  • Valuation gap (PE < 10, P/B < 1) suggests upside
  • Bullish trend direction despite bearish MACD

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs indicating potential retracement
  • Mixed momentum signals (RSI neutral, MACD bearish)
  • Elevated volatility may cause swing‑range trading

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamentally cheap valuation (PE ~8, P/B <1)
  • Low market‑beta and defensive dividend‑free cash flow profile
  • Strategic position in Turkey’s telecom sector with growth prospects

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price59.45
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.3
SupportTRY 56.25
ResistanceTRY 68.90
MA 20TRY 63.13
MA 50TRY 61.66
MA 200TRY 58.74
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.14
Volatility45.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.