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TPR:NYSETapestry, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-03 - not real-time

$139.61

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tapestry, Inc. delivered a record third‑quarter with ~23% constant‑currency revenue growth and a 490‑basis‑point expansion in operating margin, beating EPS expectations and prompting a raised FY26 outlook. Despite the earnings beat, the stock slipped about 9.5% on the day, leaving the price near the 20‑day SMA and well below the DCF‑derived fair value of $223, creating a clear upside gap. The technical picture shows a bullish MACD crossover, a neutral RSI around 50, and a neutral trend, while volume is tapering, suggesting limited short‑term buying pressure but no immediate downside. Fundamentally, the company boasts a 21% revenue growth rate, a 60% ROE, solid free cash flow, and a sustainable dividend yield of 1.15% with a 47% payout ratio, all of which support a longer‑run rally toward analyst targets near $165‑$169.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Record Q3 earnings beat and margin expansion
  • Bullish MACD signal with price below DCF fair value
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Continued double‑digit revenue growth and operating leverage
  • Forward PE of ~18 indicating reasonable valuation relative to growth
  • Analyst consensus target median around $169 providing upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Strong brand portfolio and high ROE supporting durable competitive advantage
  • DCF fair value of $223 suggests long‑term upside of over 60%
  • Consistent free cash flow enabling dividend growth and strategic investments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth21.20%
Profit Margin8.44%
P/E Ratio42.4
ROE60.91%
ROA16.44%
Debt/Equity574.91
P/B Ratio41.4
Op. Cash Flow$1.9B
Free Cash Flow$1.5B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.1
Support$128.34
Resistance$149.31
MA 20$136.69
MA 50$142.15
MA 200$127.54
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.75

Valuation

Fair Value$223.37
Target Price$165.05
Upside/Downside18.22%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.15%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.53
Volatility51.24%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.