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TPEIR:ATHEXPiraeus Bank S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-04 - not real-time

€8.97

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Piraeus Bank is trading at €8.97, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of €8.63 and the identified support level of €7.96, while still below the 52‑week high of €9.26, indicating room for upside. Technical momentum is bullish, with the RSI at 60, a positive MACD histogram and a bullish MACD signal, and volume trends are increasing, suggesting continued buying pressure. The stock’s P/E of 10.4 is well below the industry average of 16.4, and the price‑to‑book of 1.15 signals a modest discount to book value, supporting an undervalued assessment. Dividend yield stands at a robust 4.39% with a payout ratio of 35%, yet operating cash flow is negative, raising questions about long‑term sustainability. Overall, the combination of attractive valuation, strong dividend, and bullish technicals points to a near‑term buying opportunity, while macro‑economic and regulatory headwinds in Greece temper longer‑term optimism.
Investors should weigh the upside potential of roughly 13.6% against the elevated 30‑day volatility of 32% and the bank’s exposure to regional regulatory risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (RSI 60, MACD bullish)
  • Undervalued relative to industry P/E
  • Attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong Q1 earnings and loan growth
  • Negative operating cash flow
  • High debt level relative to cash

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential upside of ~13.6% from target price
  • Regulatory and economic uncertainty in Greece
  • Sustainable dividend concerns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.50%
Profit Margin42.58%
P/E Ratio10.4
ROE11.60%
ROA1.25%
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow€-2969999872
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.3
Support€7.96
Resistance€9.26
MA 20€8.63
MA 50€8.12
MA 200€7.56
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.75

Valuation

Target Price€10.19
Upside/Downside13.59%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.39%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.72
Volatility32.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.