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TNET:NYSETriNet Group, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

$36.42

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TriNet’s price is trading well below its longer‑term moving averages, with the short‑term average under the medium‑term and long‑term averages, signalling a bearish technical backdrop. The relative strength index sits in oversold territory while the MACD histogram has turned positive, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce toward the identified support zone.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued relative to its discounted cash‑flow estimate and carries a modest dividend yield with a low payout ratio, supported by positive operating cash flow. Recent earnings beat expectations and the company announced a sizable share‑repurchase program, adding a catalyst for price support. However, revenue is contracting, margins are thin, and leverage is elevated, which tempers the upside and underscores the need for careful monitoring.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving averages
  • oversold RSI with emerging MACD bullish signal
  • proximity to a defined support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • valuation gap to fair‑value estimate
  • attractive dividend yield and low payout
  • share‑repurchase program providing upside support

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • persistent revenue decline and thin margins
  • high leverage relative to equity
  • steady cash flow generation and dividend sustainability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.20%
Profit Margin3.14%
P/E Ratio11.4
ROE252.03%
ROA3.43%
Debt/Equity1744.44
P/B Ratio31.9
Op. Cash Flow$303.0M
Free Cash Flow$196.6M
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI33.1
Support$33.61
Resistance$47.42
MA 20$38.05
MA 50$50.89
MA 200$62.34
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index73.98

Valuation

Fair Value$42.95
Target Price$54.80
Upside/Downside50.47%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.82
Volatility81.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.