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TMPV:NSETMPV FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-28 - not real-time

₹324.40

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TMPV is trading well below its 20‑day (335.14), 50‑day (359.65) and 200‑day (364.10) moving averages, signaling a strong bearish bias. The 14‑day RSI at 35 points to oversold conditions, yet volume is on a decreasing trend and 30‑day volatility remains elevated at nearly 32%, underscoring market uncertainty. Immediate technical support sits around 318.25, with a near‑term resistance ceiling near 354.60, framing a narrow price corridor. MACD remains in bearish territory and the overall trend is classified as bearish, suggesting limited upside momentum in the short run.
Fundamentally, the company announced a price hike of up to 1.5% across its ICE and EV lineup to offset rising input costs, which should help preserve margins. A final dividend of Rs 4 per share (≈0.92% yield) and an attractive forward P/E of 6.36 add modest income appeal. The Fear‑Greed Index sits at “Extreme Greed,” reflecting heightened market optimism despite the stock’s technical weakness. Negative beta (~‑0.5) indicates low correlation with broader market moves, offering a potential defensive tilt in a volatile equity environment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price trading below all major moving averages
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
  • Technical resistance at ~₹354.6 limiting upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price‑hike expected to protect margins
  • Forward P/E of 6.36 suggests valuation upside
  • Support level near ₹318.25 provides downside cushion

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic shift toward EVs and sustained brand strength
  • Modest dividend payout offering income stability
  • Macro‑level demand growth in Indian passenger vehicle market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price324.4
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.3
Support₹318.25
Resistance₹354.60
MA 20₹335.14
MA 50₹359.65
MA 200₹364.10
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.91

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.51
Volatility31.96%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.