TMPV:NSETMPV FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time
₹310.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited is priced at INR 310.00 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. Over a rolling month the price has lost 7.1%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 33.1 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near INR 308.85 and resistance around INR 353.20.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 24.6%, a beta of -0.46 and a maximum drawdown of 58.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 24.6%, a beta of -0.46 and a maximum drawdown of 58.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Price Hike: Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Ltd TMPV on Friday, August 21, announced a...moneycontrol.com2monHold Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles; target of Rs 370: ICICI SecuritiesTata Motors Passenger...This is the second hike in Tata Motors car prices in the same quarter.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 350.91
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 350.91
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 58.8%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 24.6%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price310
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI33.1
Support₹308.85
Resistance₹353.20
MA 20₹328.62
MA 50₹334.60
MA 200₹350.91
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.86
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.46
Volatility24.55%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.