TLKM:IDXPT Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Class B Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-02 - not real-time
IDR 2,590.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk is priced at IDR 2,590.00, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. The last 30 days have lost 4.4%. RSI sits at 46.7, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch IDR 2,550.00 as support and IDR 2,790.00 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 14.5 times earnings in line with a sector average of 16.1. Sell-side targets cluster 35.4% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 6.4% on a 12.0% profit margin. The 8.55% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 28.1%, a beta of 0.08 and a maximum drawdown of 40.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 14.5 times earnings in line with a sector average of 16.1. Sell-side targets cluster 35.4% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 6.4% on a 12.0% profit margin. The 8.55% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 28.1%, a beta of 0.08 and a maximum drawdown of 40.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.
Top Market Events
Dalam transaksi tahap 2 ini, Telkom akan mengalihkan segmen usaha Wholesale Fiber Connectivity kepada TIF melalui...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 3106.90
- MACD momentum is negative
- Maximum drawdown of 40.4%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 14.5 versus sector average of 16.1
- Dividend yield of 8.55% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading below the 200-day average of 3106.90
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 14.5 versus sector average of 16.1
- Dividend yield of 8.55% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +35.4% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.40%
Profit Margin12.01%
P/E Ratio14.5
ROE17.68%
ROA7.58%
Debt/Equity59.98
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash FlowIDR66131.0B
Free Cash FlowIDR57332.4B
Industry P/E16.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.7
SupportIDR 2,550.00
ResistanceIDR 2,790.00
MA 20IDR 2,625.50
MA 50IDR 2,582.60
MA 200IDR 3,106.90
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.25
Valuation
Fair ValueIDR 9,446.38
Target PriceIDR 3,505.91
Upside/Downside35.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield8.55%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.08
Volatility28.07%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.