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TIT:MILTelecom Italia S.p.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

€0.59

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Telecom Italia’s price is trading above its short‑term moving average but still below the longer‑term average, indicating a modest bullish bias while momentum remains neutral as reflected by an RSI near the mid‑range. Technical signals show a bearish MACD divergence and a price that is hovering between identified support and resistance zones, suggesting limited upside in the immediate term. Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued relative to its discounted cash‑flow estimate, even though its forward price‑to‑earnings multiple sits well above the sector average, highlighting a valuation mismatch. The company carries a high leverage profile with debt exceeding equity, modest operating margins and negative free cash flow, which tempers the upside narrative. Nonetheless, strong cash balances and a stable trading volume provide a cushion against liquidity stress. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy, driven by the expectation that the market will eventually recognize the intrinsic value gap.
Looking ahead, the modest volatility and low beta suggest the stock is less reactive to broader market swings, while the absence of dividend payments removes yield expectations. Regulatory and geographic exposures in Italy and Brazil introduce medium‑level risks, but the firm’s diversified service portfolio and ongoing network investments support a longer‑term growth outlook. Investors should weigh the attractive valuation against the balance‑sheet constraints and the neutral technical backdrop when forming a position.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above short‑term SMA but below longer‑term SMA
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Neutral RSI indicating limited momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value exceeds current price
  • Analyst consensus of buy
  • Stable volume and low beta reducing market‑wide volatility exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to intrinsic estimate
  • Potential operational improvements to reduce debt load
  • Diversified telecom services offering resilient cash flows over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.50%
Profit Margin2.16%
P/E Ratio25.4
ROE4.44%
ROA1.93%
Debt/Equity104.12
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow€2.6B
Free Cash Flow€-620875008
Industry P/E17.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI45.0
Support€0.56
Resistance€0.67
MA 20€0.62
MA 50€0.59
MA 200€0.49
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value€0.66
Target Price€0.59
Upside/Downside-0.93%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.48
Volatility32.05%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.