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THYAO:BISTTURK HAVA YOLLARI AO FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-21 - not real-time

TRY 302.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At TRY 302.00, Türk Hava Yollari Anonim Ortakligi shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 9.0%. With RSI at 40.5 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at TRY 295.25 up to resistance at TRY 328.75.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as balanced.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 26.7%, a beta of -0.15 and a maximum drawdown of 23.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 3 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Seeking Alpha15dTürk Hava Yollari Anonim Ortakligi TKHVY Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptLadies and gentlemen, welcome...TÜRK HAVA YOLLARI THYAO , 06 Ağustos Perşembe 2026 için hazırlanan analizde, 05 Ağustos Çarşamba 2026 kapanış...TÜRK HAVA YOLLARI THYAO , 27 Nisan Pazartesi 2026 için hazırlanan analizde, 24 Nisan Cuma 2026 kapanış verilerine...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 301.59
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -9.0%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 301.59
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -9.0%

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Maximum drawdown of 23.0%
  • 30-day volatility of 26.7%
  • Beta of -0.15 versus the benchmark

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price302
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI40.5
SupportTRY 295.25
ResistanceTRY 328.75
MA 20TRY 309.38
MA 50TRY 320.21
MA 200TRY 301.59
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.84

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.15
Volatility26.70%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.