TFII:TSXTFI International Inc. Analysis

TFI International is trading at CAD 140, comfortably above its 20‑day (157.07) and 50‑day (155.94) SMAs but still below the 200‑day SMA of 134.03, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term bullish framework. RSI is down at 31.2, suggesting oversold conditions, while the MACD remains bearish with a widening histogram. The stock is hugging a key support level around CAD 139.19 and has recently benefited from a B of A Securities upgrade and a Q4 earnings beat of CAD 1.09 per share versus the consensus estimate of CAD 0.85. On the fundamentals side, the company posts a forward PE of 16.1 versus a trailing PE of 27.7 and an industry PE average of 29.1, a dividend yield of 1.86% with a payout ratio under 50%, and free cash flow of CAD 645 million. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of CAD 69.9 places the current price well above intrinsic estimates, implying a 16% upside/downside discrepancy that reflects market optimism despite a 17.9% max drawdown and 51% 30‑day volatility.