TEL2BS:AQUISUKTele2 AB Class B Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
SEK 190.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Tele2 AB is currently trading above its short‑, medium‑ and long‑term moving averages, indicating a bullish price trend, while the RSI remains comfortably in the mid‑60s, suggesting continued upward momentum.
However, the MACD histogram has turned negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at potential short‑term weakness. The stock’s beta is low, reflecting limited market volatility, but its 30‑day price swings are relatively high, and trading volume is modest, raising liquidity concerns.
On the fundamentals side, the price‑to‑earnings multiple is substantially above the telecom industry average, and a discounted cash‑flow model values the company well below its current market price, pointing to overvaluation. A generous dividend yield is being paid out at an unsustainably high payout ratio, while a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio indicates significant leverage.
Taken together, the technical upside is tempered by bearish momentum signals and a stark valuation gap, and the balance sheet stress combined with dividend sustainability issues adds further downside risk.
However, the MACD histogram has turned negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at potential short‑term weakness. The stock’s beta is low, reflecting limited market volatility, but its 30‑day price swings are relatively high, and trading volume is modest, raising liquidity concerns.
On the fundamentals side, the price‑to‑earnings multiple is substantially above the telecom industry average, and a discounted cash‑flow model values the company well below its current market price, pointing to overvaluation. A generous dividend yield is being paid out at an unsustainably high payout ratio, while a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio indicates significant leverage.
Taken together, the technical upside is tempered by bearish momentum signals and a stark valuation gap, and the balance sheet stress combined with dividend sustainability issues adds further downside risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram despite bullish price trend
- High valuation relative to DCF fair value
- Modest liquidity and low trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Elevated debt levels and weak dividend sustainability
- Continued overvaluation versus peers
- Potential regulatory headwinds in the telecom sector
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount needed for fair pricing
- High leverage and exposure to interest‑rate risk
- Unsustainable dividend payout eroding cash reserves
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.30%
Profit Margin15.35%
P/E Ratio28.9
ROE20.65%
ROA7.08%
Debt/Equity130.76
P/B Ratio5.9
Op. Cash FlowSEK11.3B
Free Cash FlowSEK6.6B
Industry P/E17.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI60.6
SupportSEK 186.88
ResistanceSEK 194.05
MA 20SEK 190.44
MA 50SEK 174.33
MA 200SEK 156.90
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueSEK 107.96
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.53%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.27
Volatility19.78%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.