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TEL2BS:AQUISUKTele2 AB Class B Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

SEK 190.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tele2 AB is currently trading above its short‑, medium‑ and long‑term moving averages, indicating a bullish price trend, while the RSI remains comfortably in the mid‑60s, suggesting continued upward momentum.
However, the MACD histogram has turned negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at potential short‑term weakness. The stock’s beta is low, reflecting limited market volatility, but its 30‑day price swings are relatively high, and trading volume is modest, raising liquidity concerns.
On the fundamentals side, the price‑to‑earnings multiple is substantially above the telecom industry average, and a discounted cash‑flow model values the company well below its current market price, pointing to overvaluation. A generous dividend yield is being paid out at an unsustainably high payout ratio, while a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio indicates significant leverage.
Taken together, the technical upside is tempered by bearish momentum signals and a stark valuation gap, and the balance sheet stress combined with dividend sustainability issues adds further downside risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram despite bullish price trend
  • High valuation relative to DCF fair value
  • Modest liquidity and low trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated debt levels and weak dividend sustainability
  • Continued overvaluation versus peers
  • Potential regulatory headwinds in the telecom sector

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation discount needed for fair pricing
  • High leverage and exposure to interest‑rate risk
  • Unsustainable dividend payout eroding cash reserves

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.30%
Profit Margin15.35%
P/E Ratio28.9
ROE20.65%
ROA7.08%
Debt/Equity130.76
P/B Ratio5.9
Op. Cash FlowSEK11.3B
Free Cash FlowSEK6.6B
Industry P/E17.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.6
SupportSEK 186.88
ResistanceSEK 194.05
MA 20SEK 190.44
MA 50SEK 174.33
MA 200SEK 156.90
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueSEK 107.96
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.53%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.27
Volatility19.78%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.