TCELL:BISTTURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-02 - not real-time
TRY 96.55
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At TRY 96.55, Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 13.3%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 30.3 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. The recent range runs from support at TRY 93.50 up to resistance at TRY 108.40.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 36.8%, a beta of -0.15 and a maximum drawdown of 25.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 36.8%, a beta of -0.15 and a maximum drawdown of 25.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
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Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 107.72
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 107.72
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 25.5%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 36.8%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price96.55
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI30.3
SupportTRY 93.50
ResistanceTRY 108.40
MA 20TRY 103.55
MA 50TRY 105.89
MA 200TRY 107.72
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.25
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.15
Volatility36.78%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.