TCBX:NYSEThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time
$44.60
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. is bullish at $44.60, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. It has gained 11.4% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 52.6 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $43.29 up to resistance at $46.35.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 11.1 times earnings against the sector's 16.9. Sell-side targets cluster 5.4% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 32.1% on a 32.5% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 24.0%, a beta of 0.50 and a maximum drawdown of 16.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 7/10 conviction.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 11.1 times earnings against the sector's 16.9. Sell-side targets cluster 5.4% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 32.1% on a 32.5% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 24.0%, a beta of 0.50 and a maximum drawdown of 16.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 7/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Microsoft and our third-party vendors use cookies to store and access information such as unique IDs and personal...The latest company information, including net asset values, performance, holding & sectors weighting, changes in voting...Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. NYSE and NYSE Texas: TCBX , "Third Coast" or the "Company" , the holding company of Third...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 39.98
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 11.1 versus sector average of 16.9
- Trading above the 200-day average of 39.98
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 11.1 versus sector average of 16.9
- Analyst targets imply +5.4% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 32.5% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth32.10%
Profit Margin32.46%
P/E Ratio11.1
ROE12.74%
ROA1.27%
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$32.7M
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.6
Support$43.29
Resistance$46.35
MA 20$45.05
MA 50$42.67
MA 200$39.98
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.79
Valuation
Fair Value$62.79
Target Price$47.00
Upside/Downside5.38%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.50
Volatility23.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.