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TBIG:IDXPT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

IDR 1,525.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, confirming a bearish technical backdrop. The RSI sits in the low‑30s, hinting at oversold conditions, while the MACD remains in bearish territory and the price is trapped between a support near the 30‑day low and a resistance around the 1800 level. Volume has been rising, suggesting that market participants are actively trading despite the downtrend.
Fundamentally, the company boasts strong gross and operating margins and generates robust operating and free cash flow, yet it carries an extremely high debt load that translates into a debt‑to‑equity ratio in the high hundreds. Valuation metrics are stretched: the price‑to‑earnings multiple exceeds the industry average and the discounted cash‑flow fair value is far below the current market price, indicating significant overvaluation. The dividend yield is attractive at over 3 %, but the payout ratio approaches 85 %, raising concerns about sustainability given the leverage. High 30‑day volatility and a near‑zero beta temper market‑wide risk, but sector‑specific regulatory and geographic exposures remain material considerations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical alignment with price below all major moving averages
  • Oversold RSI may trigger a short‑term bounce
  • Elevated volatility could produce erratic price moves

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation relative to DCF and industry peers
  • Strong cash generation but unsustainable debt levels
  • Attractive dividend yield tempered by high payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Core infrastructure assets provide stable revenue base
  • Potential price correction toward fair value offers upside
  • Dividend income adds total return if leverage is managed

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin18.87%
P/E Ratio26.1
ROE11.90%
ROA5.98%
Debt/Equity286.84
P/B Ratio3.4
Op. Cash FlowIDR5398.6B
Free Cash FlowIDR2971.5B
Industry P/E18.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI34.0
SupportIDR 1,410.00
ResistanceIDR 1,800.00
MA 20IDR 1,660.75
MA 50IDR 1,944.70
MA 200IDR 1,975.25
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.38

Valuation

Fair ValueIDR 503.74
Target PriceIDR 2,045.00
Upside/Downside34.10%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.03
Volatility53.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.