TAVHL:BISTTAV AIRPORTS FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
TRY 251.75
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
TAVHL is trading at 251.75 TRY, comfortably above the computed support of 240.20 TRY but well below its 20‑day SMA of 270.72 TRY and the 50‑day SMA of 294.75 TRY, indicating a short‑term price weakness. The 14‑day RSI of 36.8 points to a mildly oversold condition, while the MACD remains bearish with the line under the signal and a negative histogram, suggesting continued downward pressure. Volatility is elevated at roughly 44 % over the past 30 days and the max drawdown sits at –33 %, underscoring heightened price swings. However, the Fear & Greed Index reads 91.39 – “Extreme Greed” – reflecting strong market optimism despite the technical downside. The stock’s beta is slightly negative (‑0.29), implying limited correlation with the broader market and a potential hedge in turbulent environments.
Given the forward PE of 12.58 versus a trailing PE of 42.89, earnings expectations are improving, and the dividend yield of 1.43 % adds modest income appeal. Volume is stable and near average, supporting liquidity, while the geographic exposure to Turkey introduces moderate currency and geopolitical considerations. Overall, the technical backdrop suggests caution in the near term, but the valuation upside and sentiment tilt the medium‑ to long‑term outlook toward accumulation.
Given the forward PE of 12.58 versus a trailing PE of 42.89, earnings expectations are improving, and the dividend yield of 1.43 % adds modest income appeal. Volume is stable and near average, supporting liquidity, while the geographic exposure to Turkey introduces moderate currency and geopolitical considerations. Overall, the technical backdrop suggests caution in the near term, but the valuation upside and sentiment tilt the medium‑ to long‑term outlook toward accumulation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above key support
- Bearish MACD momentum
- Elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward PE discount indicating earnings improvement
- Strong market sentiment (Extreme Greed)
- Support cushion and stable volume
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strategic airport asset base with secular demand growth
- Dividend yield providing income stability
- Negative beta offering defensive characteristics
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price251.75
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI36.8
SupportTRY 240.20
ResistanceTRY 309.75
MA 20TRY 270.72
MA 50TRY 294.75
MA 200TRY 285.81
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.39
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.29
Volatility43.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.