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TAVHL:BISTTAV AIRPORTS FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

TRY 251.75

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TAVHL is trading at 251.75 TRY, comfortably above the computed support of 240.20 TRY but well below its 20‑day SMA of 270.72 TRY and the 50‑day SMA of 294.75 TRY, indicating a short‑term price weakness. The 14‑day RSI of 36.8 points to a mildly oversold condition, while the MACD remains bearish with the line under the signal and a negative histogram, suggesting continued downward pressure. Volatility is elevated at roughly 44 % over the past 30 days and the max drawdown sits at –33 %, underscoring heightened price swings. However, the Fear & Greed Index reads 91.39 – “Extreme Greed” – reflecting strong market optimism despite the technical downside. The stock’s beta is slightly negative (‑0.29), implying limited correlation with the broader market and a potential hedge in turbulent environments.
Given the forward PE of 12.58 versus a trailing PE of 42.89, earnings expectations are improving, and the dividend yield of 1.43 % adds modest income appeal. Volume is stable and near average, supporting liquidity, while the geographic exposure to Turkey introduces moderate currency and geopolitical considerations. Overall, the technical backdrop suggests caution in the near term, but the valuation upside and sentiment tilt the medium‑ to long‑term outlook toward accumulation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above key support
  • Bearish MACD momentum
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE discount indicating earnings improvement
  • Strong market sentiment (Extreme Greed)
  • Support cushion and stable volume

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic airport asset base with secular demand growth
  • Dividend yield providing income stability
  • Negative beta offering defensive characteristics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price251.75
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI36.8
SupportTRY 240.20
ResistanceTRY 309.75
MA 20TRY 270.72
MA 50TRY 294.75
MA 200TRY 285.81
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.39

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.29
Volatility43.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.