TAVHL:BISTTAV AIRPORTS FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-23 - not real-time
TRY 279.75
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind TAV Havalimanlari Holding A.S. is bearish at TRY 279.75, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 6.3%. Relative strength is 54.0 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. Watch TRY 260.00 as support and TRY 286.00 as the nearer resistance level.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 33.6%, a beta of -0.22 and a maximum drawdown of 33.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — sell short-term against hold longer out, with 3/10 conviction on the long call.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 33.6%, a beta of -0.22 and a maximum drawdown of 33.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — sell short-term against hold longer out, with 3/10 conviction on the long call.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 294.15
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 294.15
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 33.3%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 33.6%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price279.75
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI54.0
SupportTRY 260.00
ResistanceTRY 286.00
MA 20TRY 275.68
MA 50TRY 276.97
MA 200TRY 294.15
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.41
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.22
Volatility33.62%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.