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TAVHL:BISTTAV AIRPORTS FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-06 - not real-time

TRY 276.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: TAVHL is trading at 276.5, below the 20‑day SMA (281.8) and the 200‑day SMA (289.4) but just above the 50‑day SMA (274.6), indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term downtrend. The 14‑day RSI sits at 47, signaling neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative (‑0.97) and the signal line is bearish, suggesting further downside pressure. Volume is on a decreasing trend and the 30‑day volatility is elevated at 36.6%, reflecting heightened price swings. The market sentiment gauge is at an “Extreme Greed” level (93.2), which may be inflating short‑term buying interest despite the technical weakness.
Fundamental backdrop: The stock carries a high trailing PE of 47.4 but a much lower forward PE of 13.8, implying expectations of earnings improvement. Dividend yield remains modest at 1.31% and the price‑to‑book ratio of 1.30 points to a fairly valued balance sheet. A negative beta (‑0.103) indicates limited correlation with broader market moves, while the max drawdown of 33% underscores past downside risk. Support sits at 248.7 and resistance at 310.3, giving a clear upside target if the bearish technical bias eases.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and signal line
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Price testing the near‑term support at 248.7

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE compression to 13.8 suggesting earnings upside
  • Dividend yield providing modest income
  • Potential recovery in passenger traffic driving revenue

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic airport asset base in a growing region
  • Long‑term secular demand for air travel
  • Solid balance sheet with low correlation to market (negative beta)

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price276.5
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityHigh

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.3
SupportTRY 248.70
ResistanceTRY 310.25
MA 20TRY 281.79
MA 50TRY 274.57
MA 200TRY 289.40
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.2

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.18
Volatility36.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.