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TATACONSUM:NSETATA CONSUMER PROD FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-16 - not real-time

₹1,100.40

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at ₹1,100.4, just above the calculated support of ₹1,093.6, suggesting limited downside cushion. The 20‑day SMA (₹1,156.1) sits above both the 50‑day (₹1,153.8) and 200‑day (₹1,143.1) averages, confirming a longer‑term bullish bias. However, the MACD line remains below its signal (‑19.58 vs ‑10.52) and the histogram is negative, indicating short‑term bearish momentum. RSI at 33 points flags the shares as oversold, which could set the stage for a technical rebound. Volume has been trending downwards, and today’s volume (1.26 M) is below the 10‑day average, hinting at waning participation.
The Fear & Greed Index sits at an “Extreme Greed” 92.5, implying that market sentiment may be overly optimistic. A negative beta (‑0.17) and a modest market‑cap of ₹1.09 trn suggest the stock is relatively insulated from broad market swings. The 30‑day volatility of roughly 29 % is elevated, reflecting price swings that could amplify short‑term risk. Given the price is still well under the resistance of ₹1,236.6, there remains upside potential if buying pressure resumes. Overall, the confluence of bullish SMA alignment, oversold RSI, and strong sentiment creates a mixed technical picture that leans toward a cautious near‑term stance but supports a longer‑term upside view.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD momentum
  • Decreasing volume
  • Price near support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish SMA crossover
  • Oversold RSI
  • Extreme greed sentiment

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term SMA hierarchy
  • Limited downside to support
  • Strong market cap and low beta

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price1100.4
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI33.1
Support₹1,093.60
Resistance₹1,236.60
MA 20₹1,156.10
MA 50₹1,153.82
MA 200₹1,143.10
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.5

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.17
Volatility29.28%
Sector RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.