T:CRYPTOCAPMarket Cap T, $ Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
$22.01
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AT&T’s stock is trading at $22.01, well below its 20‑day ($23.72), 50‑day ($24.87) and 200‑day ($26.07) moving averages, signaling a bearish price trend. The RSI of 29.6 places the shares in oversold territory, while the MACD remains bearish with the line under the signal. Despite the technical weakness, the company trades at a forward P/E of 8.6 versus a sector average of 16.7, indicating a substantial valuation discount. A dividend yield of 5.04% and a modest payout ratio of 36.5% suggest the dividend is financially sustainable given $8.85 B of free cash flow. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 125 and total debt exceeding $159 B, which poses a structural risk. Analysts remain optimistic, assigning a “buy” consensus and a mean target price of $30.28, implying roughly 37% upside, while the market’s Fear & Greed Index sits at an “Extreme Greed” 91.46.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI in oversold range suggests potential rebound
- Price near immediate support at $21.99
- Bearish MACD and overall downtrend caution entry
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap (P/E 7.2 vs industry 16.7)
- Strong cash generation and sustainable dividend
- Analyst consensus and upside potential toward $30 target
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Defensive telecom sector with stable revenue streams
- Negative beta offers hedge against market volatility
- Long‑term cash flow adequacy to service debt and fund dividends
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.90%
Profit Margin16.94%
P/E Ratio7.2
ROE18.37%
ROA4.12%
Debt/Equity125.17
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$38.8B
Free Cash Flow$8.8B
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI29.6
Support$21.99
Resistance$25.43
MA 20$23.72
MA 50$24.87
MA 200$26.07
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Target Price$30.28
Upside/Downside37.59%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.04%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.24
Volatility26.73%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.