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T:CRYPTOCAPMarket Cap T, $ Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

$22.01

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

AT&T’s stock is trading at $22.01, well below its 20‑day ($23.72), 50‑day ($24.87) and 200‑day ($26.07) moving averages, signaling a bearish price trend. The RSI of 29.6 places the shares in oversold territory, while the MACD remains bearish with the line under the signal. Despite the technical weakness, the company trades at a forward P/E of 8.6 versus a sector average of 16.7, indicating a substantial valuation discount. A dividend yield of 5.04% and a modest payout ratio of 36.5% suggest the dividend is financially sustainable given $8.85 B of free cash flow. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 125 and total debt exceeding $159 B, which poses a structural risk. Analysts remain optimistic, assigning a “buy” consensus and a mean target price of $30.28, implying roughly 37% upside, while the market’s Fear & Greed Index sits at an “Extreme Greed” 91.46.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in oversold range suggests potential rebound
  • Price near immediate support at $21.99
  • Bearish MACD and overall downtrend caution entry

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap (P/E 7.2 vs industry 16.7)
  • Strong cash generation and sustainable dividend
  • Analyst consensus and upside potential toward $30 target

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive telecom sector with stable revenue streams
  • Negative beta offers hedge against market volatility
  • Long‑term cash flow adequacy to service debt and fund dividends

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.90%
Profit Margin16.94%
P/E Ratio7.2
ROE18.37%
ROA4.12%
Debt/Equity125.17
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$38.8B
Free Cash Flow$8.8B
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI29.6
Support$21.99
Resistance$25.43
MA 20$23.72
MA 50$24.87
MA 200$26.07
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Target Price$30.28
Upside/Downside37.59%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.24
Volatility26.73%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.