SVT:LSESevern Trent Plc Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
£3,158.00
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
Severn Trent trades at £31.58, just above its 20‑day SMA (£31.73) and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA (£30.17), confirming a short‑term bullish price bias. However, the MACD histogram remains negative (‑£0.18) and the RSI sits at a neutral 55, signalling limited upside momentum. The company delivers a solid 18% revenue growth and a strong 3.91% dividend yield, but the payout ratio exceeds 100% (116%) and free cash flow is negative, raising questions about dividend sustainability. The latest fair‑value revision to £30.20 places the current price roughly 2–3% above the adjusted intrinsic estimate, suggesting the stock is at best fairly valued.
Regulatory exposure is moderate; the water sector’s stable, regulated cash‑flows underpin the business, yet the high debt‑to‑equity (≈597) and modest beta (0.06) highlight low market volatility but elevated financial leverage. With stable trading volumes and a low‑beta profile, the stock presents limited liquidity risk, while the UK‑centric operations keep geographic and currency risk low.
Regulatory exposure is moderate; the water sector’s stable, regulated cash‑flows underpin the business, yet the high debt‑to‑equity (≈597) and modest beta (0.06) highlight low market volatility but elevated financial leverage. With stable trading volumes and a low‑beta profile, the stock presents limited liquidity risk, while the UK‑centric operations keep geographic and currency risk low.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near 20‑day SMA with bullish trend but MACD bearish
- Neutral RSI indicating limited short‑term momentum
- Support level at £30.39 providing downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong 18% revenue growth and attractive dividend yield
- Fair‑value estimate (£30.20) slightly below current price
- Regulated utility model delivering stable cash‑flows
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term regulated water demand and renewable‑energy assets
- High leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~597) and unsustainable payout ratio
- Low beta and low volatility supporting defensive profile
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.00%
Profit Margin11.92%
P/E Ratio30.1
ROE17.41%
ROA2.91%
Debt/Equity596.74
P/B Ratio526.6
Op. Cash Flow£1.0B
Free Cash Flow£-970550016
Industry P/E23.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI55.0
Support£3,039.00
Resistance£3,298.00
MA 20£3,173.40
MA 50£3,016.74
MA 200£2,766.54
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value£3,625.24
Target Price£3,075.62
Upside/Downside-2.61%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.91%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.06
Volatility22.68%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.