SUEL:BSESUZLON FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
R$119.90
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The price of SUEL is trading at 119.90, just above the 20‑day SMA of 120.88 and slightly below the 50‑day SMA of 121.38, indicating a modest pull‑back toward recent averages. RSI sits at 39.9, flirting with oversold territory, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence with the line at –0.42 versus a signal at –0.34, suggesting short‑term downside pressure. Volatility over the past 30 days is modest at 6.2%, and the asset’s beta is effectively neutral at –0.04, pointing to limited systematic risk. The market sentiment index reads 89.38, labeled “Extreme Greed,” which could fuel buying interest despite the technical bearish cues. Support is identified near 119.58 and resistance at 122.43, framing a narrow range that the price is currently testing. Given the neutral trend direction and stable volume, the near‑term outlook is cautious but not alarming, while the longer horizon remains supportive if the price rebounds toward the 20‑day SMA.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram
- RSI near oversold level
- Price testing immediate support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential bounce toward 20‑day SMA
- Neutral beta limiting systemic exposure
- Extreme greed sentiment may lift demand
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Balanced supply‑demand fundamentals
- Flat futures curve indicating price stability
- Low geopolitical and rates sensitivity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price119.898
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI39.9
SupportR$119.58
ResistanceR$122.43
MA 20R$120.88
MA 50R$121.38
MA 200R$118.21
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.38
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.04
Volatility6.20%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.