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SUEL:BSESUZLON FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

R$119.90

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The price of SUEL is trading at 119.90, just above the 20‑day SMA of 120.88 and slightly below the 50‑day SMA of 121.38, indicating a modest pull‑back toward recent averages. RSI sits at 39.9, flirting with oversold territory, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence with the line at –0.42 versus a signal at –0.34, suggesting short‑term downside pressure. Volatility over the past 30 days is modest at 6.2%, and the asset’s beta is effectively neutral at –0.04, pointing to limited systematic risk. The market sentiment index reads 89.38, labeled “Extreme Greed,” which could fuel buying interest despite the technical bearish cues. Support is identified near 119.58 and resistance at 122.43, framing a narrow range that the price is currently testing. Given the neutral trend direction and stable volume, the near‑term outlook is cautious but not alarming, while the longer horizon remains supportive if the price rebounds toward the 20‑day SMA.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • RSI near oversold level
  • Price testing immediate support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Potential bounce toward 20‑day SMA
  • Neutral beta limiting systemic exposure
  • Extreme greed sentiment may lift demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Balanced supply‑demand fundamentals
  • Flat futures curve indicating price stability
  • Low geopolitical and rates sensitivity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price119.898
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI39.9
SupportR$119.58
ResistanceR$122.43
MA 20R$120.88
MA 50R$121.38
MA 200R$118.21
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.38

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.04
Volatility6.20%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.