STRS:NASDAQStratus Properties Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-03 - not real-time
$30.28
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Stratus Properties trades near a critical support level, with the short‑term moving average slipping just below the intermediate average and a bearish MACD histogram, signaling near‑term downside pressure. RSI hovers around the midpoint and volume is on the rise, indicating heightened market participation.
Fundamentals are mixed – revenue is contracting, margins are thin to negative, and operating cash flow is negative despite a strong free‑cash‑flow figure. The balance sheet carries substantial debt relative to equity and a recent sizable insider sell‑off by a major shareholder raises confidence concerns.
Valuation metrics show a price‑to‑earnings ratio well below the industry average and a modest price‑to‑book premium, while a discounted‑cash‑flow model suggests a far higher intrinsic value, creating a divergence between market price and model expectations. Market sentiment is extremely greedy, yet volatility remains high.
Fundamentals are mixed – revenue is contracting, margins are thin to negative, and operating cash flow is negative despite a strong free‑cash‑flow figure. The balance sheet carries substantial debt relative to equity and a recent sizable insider sell‑off by a major shareholder raises confidence concerns.
Valuation metrics show a price‑to‑earnings ratio well below the industry average and a modest price‑to‑book premium, while a discounted‑cash‑flow model suggests a far higher intrinsic value, creating a divergence between market price and model expectations. Market sentiment is extremely greedy, yet volatility remains high.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- bearish technical indicators near support
- recent insider sell‑off
- elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- fundamental weaknesses but attractive valuation relative to peers
- potential for cash‑flow improvement
- ongoing market optimism
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- DCF model indicates significant upside
- real‑estate assets with long‑term appreciation potential
- possible turnaround in operating performance
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-19.40%
Profit Margin40.05%
P/E Ratio20.3
ROE0.87%
ROA-2.17%
Debt/Equity45.82
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$-29896000
Free Cash Flow$69.9M
Industry P/E33.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.6
Support$29.50
Resistance$31.57
MA 20$30.30
MA 50$30.37
MA 200$23.81
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09
Valuation
Fair Value$106.16
GradeFair
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.90
Volatility32.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.