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STRS:NASDAQStratus Properties Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-03 - not real-time

$30.28

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Stratus Properties trades near a critical support level, with the short‑term moving average slipping just below the intermediate average and a bearish MACD histogram, signaling near‑term downside pressure. RSI hovers around the midpoint and volume is on the rise, indicating heightened market participation.
Fundamentals are mixed – revenue is contracting, margins are thin to negative, and operating cash flow is negative despite a strong free‑cash‑flow figure. The balance sheet carries substantial debt relative to equity and a recent sizable insider sell‑off by a major shareholder raises confidence concerns.
Valuation metrics show a price‑to‑earnings ratio well below the industry average and a modest price‑to‑book premium, while a discounted‑cash‑flow model suggests a far higher intrinsic value, creating a divergence between market price and model expectations. Market sentiment is extremely greedy, yet volatility remains high.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bearish technical indicators near support
  • recent insider sell‑off
  • elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • fundamental weaknesses but attractive valuation relative to peers
  • potential for cash‑flow improvement
  • ongoing market optimism

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • DCF model indicates significant upside
  • real‑estate assets with long‑term appreciation potential
  • possible turnaround in operating performance

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-19.40%
Profit Margin40.05%
P/E Ratio20.3
ROE0.87%
ROA-2.17%
Debt/Equity45.82
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$-29896000
Free Cash Flow$69.9M
Industry P/E33.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.6
Support$29.50
Resistance$31.57
MA 20$30.30
MA 50$30.37
MA 200$23.81
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09

Valuation

Fair Value$106.16
GradeFair
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.90
Volatility32.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.