STLA:NYSEStellantis N.V. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
$6.57
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Stellantis is trading at $6.57, well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages of $7.40, $8.75 and $9.78, signaling a strong bearish technical backdrop. RSI sits at 26, indicating oversold conditions, while the MACD remains in bearish territory. The stock’s 30‑day volatility is extreme at 88% and its beta is above 1.5, underscoring heightened price swings. On the fundamentals side, revenue grew 10% YoY to $153.5 B, yet operating margins are negative (‑7.1%) and the company posted a net loss of $8.88 per share. Cash flow is negative (operating cash flow ‑$4.65 B, free cash flow ‑$8.94 B) and leverage is high with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 85, raising solvency concerns. The dividend yield looks attractive at 10.58%, but a payout ratio of 84% on a loss‑making business makes sustainability doubtful. Forward earnings are modestly positive (EPS $1.82) and the forward P/E of 3.6 suggests cheap valuation, reinforced by a P/B of 0.31 and a price‑to‑sales of 0.12. Analysts have reduced the price target to $8 and moved the recommendation to hold, while the upside potential from current levels is still estimated at roughly 45%. Recent news of a potential exit from the Samsung SDI battery JV could cut exposure to EV battery risk but also limits growth in the electric‑vehicle segment. Short interest has slipped to 1.56% of float, indicating a modest reduction in bearish bets. Overall, the stock sits at a deep discount with significant upside, but faces steep earnings, cash‑flow and leverage challenges that temper short‑term optimism.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price hovering at technical support
- extreme short‑term volatility
- negative cash flow and earnings
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- persistent operating losses and high leverage
- potential cost reduction from battery JV exit
- still‑attractive valuation multiples
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- deep discount to book and sales ratios
- revenue growth and forward earnings visibility
- possible turnaround as EV strategy refocuses
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.30%
Profit Margin-14.57%
P/E Ratio3.6
ROE-32.81%
ROA-1.91%
Debt/Equity85.15
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash Flow$-4649999872
Free Cash Flow$-8941500416
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI26.2
Support$6.47
Resistance$8.27
MA 20$7.40
MA 50$8.75
MA 200$9.78
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Target Price$9.57
Upside/Downside45.64%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield10.58%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.59
Volatility88.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.