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SSE:LSESSE PLC Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

£2,689.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SSE plc is trading at £2,689, well above its DCF fair value of £1,750 and the 20‑day SMA of £2,635, indicating a near‑term overvaluation. The stock enjoys a bullish trend with the price above the 50‑day (£2,465) and 200‑day (£2,028) moving averages, but the MACD histogram is negative and volume is decreasing, suggesting weakening momentum. Revenue growth remains modest at 3.9% YoY while operating margins sit at 16.5% and profit margins at 9.3%, reflecting solid but not spectacular earnings power. The dividend yield of 2.45% is attractive for income seekers, yet a payout ratio of 74% and negative free cash flow raise concerns about sustainability. Recent material news highlights a 1.4 GW CfD contract for offshore wind and a £600 m capital securities redemption, underscoring a focus on renewable expansion and balance‑sheet management. Analyst price targets cluster around £25–£26 per share, still below the current market level, reinforcing the view that the rally may be priced in. Overall, the combination of high valuation multiples (PE 30.9 vs industry 20.8), low beta, and sector stability points to a cautious stance, with upside limited unless the renewable pipeline translates into stronger cash flows.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price above short‑term moving averages but bearish MACD histogram
  • decreasing trading volume indicating waning momentum
  • current price exceeds DCF fair value, limiting upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • stable dividend yield offset by high payout ratio and negative free cash flow
  • moderate revenue growth and solid operating margins
  • ongoing debt reduction efforts and capital securities redemption

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • secured 1.4 GW offshore wind CfD supporting future renewable earnings
  • regulated utility business providing predictable cash flows
  • potential for debt leverage improvement as renewable assets mature

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.90%
Profit Margin9.31%
P/E Ratio30.9
ROE8.83%
ROA4.28%
Debt/Equity76.86
P/B Ratio299.4
Op. Cash Flow£2.7B
Free Cash Flow£-2417200128
Industry P/E20.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.4
Support£2,511.00
Resistance£2,713.00
MA 20£2,635.10
MA 50£2,465.42
MA 200£2,027.66
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.59

Valuation

Fair Value£1,749.65
Target Price£2,521.73
Upside/Downside-6.22%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.45%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.15
Volatility23.16%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.