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SLDP:NASDAQSolid Power, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-29 - not real-time

$2.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Solid Power is trading at $2, well below its 20‑day ($2.32) and 50‑day ($2.69) simple moving averages, confirming a bearish price trend. The RSI of 29 signals oversold conditions, while a bearish MACD histogram reinforces downside momentum. Volatility is extreme at 53% over the past 30 days and a beta above 3 indicates the stock moves sharply with the market, amplifying risk. On the balance sheet, the company holds $255 M in cash against a modest $8 M debt, giving it a comfortable liquidity cushion despite operating cash burns of $66 M. However, revenue has collapsed by 59%, gross margins are deeply negative (‑44%), and EBITDA is a $84 M loss, resulting in a negative PE and zero earnings per share. The price‑to‑book ratio of 0.86 suggests the market values the stock below its book value, yet a price‑to‑sales multiple of 30× signals significant overvaluation relative to sales. Support sits at $1.98 with resistance near $2.71, limiting short‑term upside unless a catalyst emerges.
Upcoming Q2 2026 earnings on August 4 and the recent appointment of Uwe Breitweg—an automotive battery strategist—to the board could provide material upside if the company discloses partnership or technology milestones. Long‑term, Solid Power sits in the high‑growth solid‑state battery niche, but the current lack of profitability, high drawdown history, and sector cyclicality keep the risk profile elevated. Investors should weigh the speculative upside against the pronounced financial weakness and market volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price is near technical support with limited upside to resistance
  • Oversold RSI may trigger a short rebound but bearish MACD persists
  • High volatility and beta increase short‑term price swings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Upcoming earnings release could reveal partnership or technology progress
  • Board appointment adds industry expertise and credibility
  • Strong cash reserves provide runway for continued R&D

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential of solid‑state batteries to disrupt EV market
  • Current financial losses and negative margins limit confidence
  • High beta and sector cyclicality keep downside risk elevated

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-58.90%
P/E Ratio-4.1
ROE-19.80%
ROA-13.14%
Debt/Equity1.52
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$-65855000
Free Cash Flow$-48534376

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI29.2
Support$1.98
Resistance$2.71
MA 20$2.32
MA 50$2.69
MA 200$4.00
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index84.54

Valuation

Target Price$6.88
Upside/Downside243.75%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta3.05
Volatility53.81%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.