SEVN:NASDAQSeven Hills Realty Trust Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-30 - not real-time
$8.52
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Seven Hills Realty Trust (SEVN) trades at $8.52, well below the analyst median target of $10 and the 52‑week high of $12.86, suggesting a sizable upside of roughly 20% per the computed upside/downside metric. Valuation metrics such as a trailing P/E of 9.5 versus an industry average of 33 and a P/B of 0.59 reinforce the perception of being undervalued. The stock’s dividend yield stands out at 13.1%, but a payout ratio above 130% raises concerns about sustainability. Technical signals are mixed: the 20‑day SMA (8.43) sits just above the current price, the MACD histogram is positive and the MACD signal is bullish, while RSI at 52 indicates a neutral momentum. Volume is trending higher, providing better liquidity, yet the 30‑day volatility of 33% and a max drawdown near 38% highlight price swings. The balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity of 142, reflecting leverage typical for mortgage REITs, and free cash flow is zero, which may pressure future distributions. Recent operational news includes the closing of a $22.7 million first‑mortgage loan on a medical office property, indicating ongoing loan origination activity. The sector’s sensitivity to interest‑rate movements and regulatory REIT tax rules adds a layer of medium‑level risk. Overall, SEVN presents a compelling valuation and income proposition, but dividend sustainability and leverage remain key headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram and signal
- Price near technical support with upside potential
- High current dividend yield attracting income seekers
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued valuation metrics relative to peers
- Elevated payout ratio exceeding earnings
- Continued loan origination activity supporting cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High leverage and zero free cash flow limiting dividend sustainability
- Interest‑rate sensitivity inherent to mortgage REITs
- Valuation upside capped by sector risk and potential dividend adjustments
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.10%
Profit Margin52.41%
P/E Ratio9.5
ROE5.13%
ROA2.02%
Debt/Equity142.46
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$16.4M
Industry P/E33.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.7
Support$8.08
Resistance$9.03
MA 20$8.43
MA 50$8.36
MA 200$8.94
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.91
Valuation
Target Price$10.25
Upside/Downside20.31%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield13.13%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.36
Volatility33.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.