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SF:NYSEStifel Financial Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-30 - not real-time

$77.35

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Stifel Financial Corp. delivered a record first quarter with revenue expanding at a double‑digit pace and earnings surpassing consensus expectations, reinforcing the positive earnings momentum highlighted in recent news. The company’s price‑earnings multiple sits comfortably below the sector average, and a forward PE suggests further upside, while a modest dividend payout ratio points to sustainable income for shareholders. Strong cash balances and a manageable debt profile support the balance sheet, and analyst consensus remains bullish with a target price well above the current market level. These fundamentals combine with an increasing volume trend to create a compelling near‑term catalyst.
Technical indicators show a neutral price trend, with the stock trading near its 20‑day moving average and below a bearish MACD histogram, indicating short‑term caution. However, the price remains above a clear support zone and below the next resistance level, offering a potential upside window that aligns with the analyst’s upside estimate. Volatility and beta are elevated, reflecting sector sensitivity, but the dividend yield adds a defensive layer. Overall, the blend of solid earnings, attractive valuation, and sustainable dividend supports a buy stance across medium and long horizons, while a hold recommendation may be prudent in the immediate term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings beat and revenue acceleration
  • Price near short‑term support with bearish MACD
  • Elevated volatility and beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap relative to peers
  • Sustainable dividend payout
  • Analyst target price indicating upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash position and manageable debt
  • Consistent profitability margins
  • Growth potential in wealth management and investment banking

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.40%
Profit Margin15.43%
P/E Ratio15.0
Debt/Equity37.66
P/B Ratio2.2
Industry P/E17.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.1
Support$72.12
Resistance$83.82
MA 20$78.00
MA 50$75.40
MA 200$78.31
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.55

Valuation

Target Price$87.75
Upside/Downside13.45%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.63%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.32
Volatility29.30%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.