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SES:NYSESES AI Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-30 - not real-time

$1.02

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

SES AI Corporation trades at $1.02, sitting below its 20‑day (1.08), 50‑day (1.22) and 200‑day (1.69) simple moving averages, signaling a clear bearish price trend. The 14‑day RSI at 41 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory but has not yet triggered a reversal signal. MACD shows a modest bullish crossover (line above signal) with a small positive histogram, hinting at a potential short‑term bounce that remains fragile. Volatility is extreme, with a 30‑day price swing of over 71%, and a computed beta near 2.9, indicating the stock moves sharply relative to the market. Fundamentally, the company generates $21 M in revenue with a healthy gross margin of 53.8%, yet operating margins are negative (‑3.9%) and both EBITDA and cash flow are deep in the red. Despite these losses, SES holds $199 M in cash against just $9 M of debt, resulting in a net cash position that could fund a turnaround. The price‑to‑sales multiple of 17.9 and a P/B of 1.73 imply the market is pricing future growth expectations heavily, while the lack of dividend underscores cash being retained for operations.
Given the aggressive valuation, high technical risk, and the company’s cash‑rich but unprofitable profile, investors should weigh the upside potential from AI‑enabled battery breakthroughs against the immediate downside risk from continued cash burn and market volatility. A cautious stance is warranted: short‑term exposure is risky, medium‑term performance hinges on execution of the growth plan, and long‑term investors may find the strategic positioning attractive if the firm can convert its cash cushion into sustainable earnings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Extreme short‑term volatility and high beta
  • Negative operating cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash reserve versus minimal debt
  • Potential market tailwinds for AI‑enhanced batteries
  • Continued earnings losses and margin pressure

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic positioning in fast‑growing EV and energy‑storage markets
  • Ample cash runway to fund R&D and scale
  • Possibility of turning cash reserves into profitable operations

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth123.60%
P/E Ratio-7.7
ROE-29.63%
ROA-17.14%
Debt/Equity4.16
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$-58362000
Free Cash Flow$-34711752

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.2
Support$0.92
Resistance$1.35
MA 20$1.08
MA 50$1.22
MA 200$1.69
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.52

Valuation

Target Price$2.70
Upside/Downside164.71%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta2.88
Volatility71.41%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.