SELF:NASDAQGlobal Self Storage, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-30 - not real-time
$5.53
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading at $5.53, comfortably above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, with a bullish MACD crossover and a rising volume trend, indicating short‑term momentum. However, the RSI of 68 places the shares in near‑overbought territory and the price sits just below the identified resistance around $5.54, suggesting a potential pull‑back.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue slipped marginally year‑over‑year (-0.9%) while net income rose sharply, reflecting higher occupancy and tenant retention but also rising operating costs. The dividend yield is attractive at over 5%, yet the payout ratio exceeds 160%, flagging sustainability concerns. Valuation is mixed: a PE of ~31 is modestly below the industry average, but the DCF fair value of $3.22 is far beneath the market price, implying the stock may be overvalued on a cash‑flow basis.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue slipped marginally year‑over‑year (-0.9%) while net income rose sharply, reflecting higher occupancy and tenant retention but also rising operating costs. The dividend yield is attractive at over 5%, yet the payout ratio exceeds 160%, flagging sustainability concerns. Valuation is mixed: a PE of ~31 is modestly below the industry average, but the DCF fair value of $3.22 is far beneath the market price, implying the stock may be overvalued on a cash‑flow basis.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance and elevated RSI
- Increasing volume supports momentum but may reverse
- High dividend payout ratio raises near‑term sustainability risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus strong‑buy with target $6.25 (~13% upside)
- Stable occupancy and tenant retention underpin cash flow
- PE slightly below industry average suggests modest valuation advantage
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- REIT structure provides predictable income streams
- Potential dividend cuts if payout remains unsustainable
- Low beta and sector‑specific risk support a defensive stance
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.90%
Profit Margin16.04%
P/E Ratio30.7
ROE4.34%
ROA2.88%
Debt/Equity34.03
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$4.5M
Free Cash Flow$3.4M
Industry P/E33.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI68.3
Support$5.04
Resistance$5.54
MA 20$5.31
MA 50$5.17
MA 200$5.11
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.29
Valuation
Fair Value$3.22
Target Price$6.25
Upside/Downside13.02%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.24%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.21
Volatility20.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.