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SEG:NYSESeaport Entertainment Group Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

$24.67

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Seaport Entertainment Group (SEG) is trading at $24.67, just above its 20‑day SMA of $24.01 and the 50‑day SMA of $23.05, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The RSI sits at 61.6, suggesting momentum is still on the upside, but the MACD histogram has turned negative and the signal line is bearish, warning of potential short‑term weakness. Volume is trending down, and volatility is elevated at roughly 29% over the past 30 days, underscoring a higher risk profile.
Fundamentally, the company is in distress: revenue fell 27.5%, margins are deeply negative, and both operating and free cash flow are substantially below zero. The forward P/E of 274 dwarfs the industry average of 33, and the balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 22.5, flagging solvency concerns. The recent partnership to revitalize a historic Lower Manhattan building adds a positive narrative, yet it is unlikely to offset the near‑term financial headwinds. Investors should weigh the technical upside potential (≈9% upside) against the severe valuation premium and ongoing cash‑burn before deciding.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price above 20‑day SMA and RSI in the 60s indicating residual momentum
  • Bearish MACD signal and decreasing volume suggesting caution
  • Recent partnership announcement could provide a short‑term catalyst

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Persistently negative margins and cash flow
  • Extreme forward P/E relative to industry peers
  • High debt load and modest cash reserves

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Ongoing cash‑burn and inability to generate earnings
  • Structural overvaluation with limited upside beyond 9%
  • Sector exposure to real‑estate cycles and regulatory constraints

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-27.50%
Profit Margin-99.43%
P/E Ratio274.1
ROE-26.47%
ROA-9.82%
Debt/Equity22.46
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$-39528000
Free Cash Flow$-17508124
Industry P/E33.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.6
Support$22.57
Resistance$25.88
MA 20$24.01
MA 50$23.05
MA 200$22.33
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price$27.00
Upside/Downside9.44%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.10
Volatility29.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.