SEG:NYSESeaport Entertainment Group Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
$24.67
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Seaport Entertainment Group (SEG) is trading at $24.67, just above its 20‑day SMA of $24.01 and the 50‑day SMA of $23.05, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The RSI sits at 61.6, suggesting momentum is still on the upside, but the MACD histogram has turned negative and the signal line is bearish, warning of potential short‑term weakness. Volume is trending down, and volatility is elevated at roughly 29% over the past 30 days, underscoring a higher risk profile.
Fundamentally, the company is in distress: revenue fell 27.5%, margins are deeply negative, and both operating and free cash flow are substantially below zero. The forward P/E of 274 dwarfs the industry average of 33, and the balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 22.5, flagging solvency concerns. The recent partnership to revitalize a historic Lower Manhattan building adds a positive narrative, yet it is unlikely to offset the near‑term financial headwinds. Investors should weigh the technical upside potential (≈9% upside) against the severe valuation premium and ongoing cash‑burn before deciding.
Fundamentally, the company is in distress: revenue fell 27.5%, margins are deeply negative, and both operating and free cash flow are substantially below zero. The forward P/E of 274 dwarfs the industry average of 33, and the balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 22.5, flagging solvency concerns. The recent partnership to revitalize a historic Lower Manhattan building adds a positive narrative, yet it is unlikely to offset the near‑term financial headwinds. Investors should weigh the technical upside potential (≈9% upside) against the severe valuation premium and ongoing cash‑burn before deciding.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price above 20‑day SMA and RSI in the 60s indicating residual momentum
- Bearish MACD signal and decreasing volume suggesting caution
- Recent partnership announcement could provide a short‑term catalyst
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Persistently negative margins and cash flow
- Extreme forward P/E relative to industry peers
- High debt load and modest cash reserves
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Ongoing cash‑burn and inability to generate earnings
- Structural overvaluation with limited upside beyond 9%
- Sector exposure to real‑estate cycles and regulatory constraints
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-27.50%
Profit Margin-99.43%
P/E Ratio274.1
ROE-26.47%
ROA-9.82%
Debt/Equity22.46
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$-39528000
Free Cash Flow$-17508124
Industry P/E33.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.6
Support$22.57
Resistance$25.88
MA 20$24.01
MA 50$23.05
MA 200$22.33
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$27.00
Upside/Downside9.44%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.10
Volatility29.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.