SEED:NASDAQOrigin Agritech Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-10 - not real-time
$1.08
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Origin Agritech Limited is bearish at $1.08, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 10.2%. RSI sits at 61.7, which reads as approaching overbought, and MACD momentum is bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $0.9800 and resistance at $1.11.
Revenue is contracting at 31.9% on a -61.8% profit margin.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 39.6%, a beta of 0.84 and a maximum drawdown of 52.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to sell, carrying 4/10 conviction.
Revenue is contracting at 31.9% on a -61.8% profit margin.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 39.6%, a beta of 0.84 and a maximum drawdown of 52.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to sell, carrying 4/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Projected RMB 5 Million US$0.74M in Immediate Cash Flow BEIJING, Aug. 05, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Origin Agritech Ltd....Eight-Month, Two-Phase Implementation Replaces Fragmented Legacy Systems and Builds the Internal Control and Data...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.15
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.15
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Negative profit margin of -61.8%
- Revenue contracting at -31.9%
- Negative free cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-31.90%
Profit Margin-61.78%
ROA-28.97%
P/B Ratio-2.3
Op. Cash Flow$-12904000
Free Cash Flow$-4761625
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI61.7
Support$0.98
Resistance$1.11
MA 20$1.02
MA 50$1.02
MA 200$1.15
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.93
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.84
Volatility39.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.