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SEDG:NASDAQSolarEdge Technologies, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-30 - not real-time

$41.58

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SolarEdge (SEDG) trades at $41.58, below its 20‑day SMA of 43.37 and 50‑day SMA of 42.29, yet above the 200‑day SMA of 35.36, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term uptrend. The MACD line sits at 0.22 above its signal at 0.16, delivering a bullish signal, while the RSI of 46.99 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. Volatility is extreme at 96% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 2.0, underscoring pronounced price swings and market sensitivity. Revenue surged 71% year‑over‑year, but gross margin is modest at 15% and operating margin remains negative, resulting in a trailing EPS of -$6.88 despite a forward EPS estimate of $1.64. The balance sheet shows net cash of $493 M against debt of $404 M, yielding a high debt‑to‑equity of 94.6% but positive free cash flow of $235 M. Analyst consensus is a “hold” with a median price target of $36, below the current price, and Goldman Sachs recently cut its rating to “sell,” signaling short‑term downside pressure.
The DCF model flags a fair value near the current level, yet the stock’s P/B of 5.87 and forward P/E of 25.3 suggest it is priced on growth expectations rather than current earnings. With no dividend, the equity is unsuitable for income investors. Overall, the blend of strong top‑line growth, high volatility, and valuation premium points to a cautious stance, while long‑term renewable energy tailwinds keep the upside narrative alive.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near short‑term support and below recent highs
  • Goldman Sachs downgrade and negative analyst price targets
  • High volatility and beta increasing downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and positive free cash flow
  • Persistently negative margins and high debt load
  • Valuation still above fair‑value estimates

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term renewable energy demand and market tailwinds
  • Improving cash‑flow profile despite current earnings loss
  • Potential for margin expansion as technology scales

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth70.90%
Profit Margin-34.23%
P/E Ratio25.3
ROE-74.68%
ROA-6.47%
Debt/Equity94.58
P/B Ratio5.9
Op. Cash Flow$104.3M
Free Cash Flow$235.1M
Industry P/E37.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.0
Support$36.07
Resistance$53.75
MA 20$43.37
MA 50$42.29
MA 200$35.36
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.29

Valuation

Fair Value$143.54
Target Price$39.76
Upside/Downside-4.37%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.06
Volatility95.96%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.