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SECO:NASDAQDUBAISaudi Electricity Co. Futures Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time

NT$117.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical indicators show a clear bullish bias: the 20‑day SMA (116.18) sits above both the 50‑day (114.83) and 200‑day (110.62) averages, and the MACD line remains in bullish territory above its signal (1.33 vs 1.27). The RSI is near the midpoint at 53.4, suggesting room for upside without immediate overbought pressure, while price is comfortably above the nearest support of 112 and still has headroom to the resistance at 123. Volume trends are increasing, reinforcing the price momentum, and the market sentiment index reads Extreme Greed (91.46), indicating strong investor enthusiasm.
Fundamentally, SECO offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.87% and a reasonable trailing PE of 17.3 that improves to a forward PE of 14.2, suggesting earnings are expected to accelerate. The stock’s beta is exceptionally low (0.038), implying minimal volatility relative to the market, and the max drawdown of roughly 14% is modest for a high‑yielding security. Overall, the confluence of bullish technicals, solid dividend income, and low risk metrics supports a positive outlook across multiple horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical alignment (SMA crossover, MACD)
  • Increasing volume supporting price strength
  • Strong dividend yield enhancing total return

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE compression indicating earnings improvement
  • Low beta and modest drawdown reducing downside risk
  • Continued bullish momentum with support above 112

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained dividend income but elevated price‑to‑book ratio
  • Potential valuation pressure near 52‑week high
  • Stable macro environment but medium geopolitical exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price117
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.4
SupportNT$112.00
ResistanceNT$123.00
MA 20NT$116.18
MA 50NT$114.83
MA 200NT$110.62
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Risk Assessment

Beta0.07
Volatility15.33%
Sector RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.