SDF:ASXSteadfast Group Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
A$4.22
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Steadfast Group is trading below both its short‑term and longer‑term moving averages, with a bearish price trend and a recent decline in trading volume. The RSI sits in the lower‑mid range, suggesting limited upside momentum, while the MACD shows a slight bullish histogram but remains in a bearish configuration overall. Nevertheless, the stock offers a high dividend yield that stands out in the sector.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid revenue growth and healthy profit margins, backed by strong operating and free cash flow. Its price‑to‑earnings multiple is comfortably below the industry average, and a discounted cash flow model points to a substantial upside potential. Debt levels are elevated yet offset by a robust cash position and a payout ratio that leaves room for sustainability. These fundamentals paint a picture of an undervalued, cash‑rich insurer with attractive income.
Looking ahead, the dividend appears sustainable given the cash generation, and the broader insurance brokerage market offers stable demand. Risks include elevated short‑term volatility, modest beta, and regulatory and geographic exposure inherent to a multi‑region insurer. Overall, the blend of value pricing, dividend appeal, and solid fundamentals supports a buy stance for medium to long horizons while recommending a cautious hold in the immediate term.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid revenue growth and healthy profit margins, backed by strong operating and free cash flow. Its price‑to‑earnings multiple is comfortably below the industry average, and a discounted cash flow model points to a substantial upside potential. Debt levels are elevated yet offset by a robust cash position and a payout ratio that leaves room for sustainability. These fundamentals paint a picture of an undervalued, cash‑rich insurer with attractive income.
Looking ahead, the dividend appears sustainable given the cash generation, and the broader insurance brokerage market offers stable demand. Risks include elevated short‑term volatility, modest beta, and regulatory and geographic exposure inherent to a multi‑region insurer. Overall, the blend of value pricing, dividend appeal, and solid fundamentals supports a buy stance for medium to long horizons while recommending a cautious hold in the immediate term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price below key moving averages
- decreasing trading volume
- high dividend yield offering immediate income
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- significant upside versus discounted cash flow valuation
- strong cash flow supporting dividend and growth
- valuation multiples below industry norms
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- sustainable dividend backed by free cash flow
- steady revenue and profit margin expansion
- position in a resilient insurance brokerage sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.90%
Profit Margin16.13%
P/E Ratio13.2
ROE16.48%
ROA7.38%
Debt/Equity76.27
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash FlowA$530.0M
Free Cash FlowA$582.3M
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.7
SupportA$3.97
ResistanceA$4.57
MA 20A$4.31
MA 50A$4.79
MA 200A$5.55
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueA$11.86
Target PriceA$5.96
Upside/Downside41.19%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.72%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.34
Volatility44.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.