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SBK:JSEStandard Bank Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

ZAC 29,868.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Standard Bank Group Ltd (SBK.JO) is trading at ZAc 29,868, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 31,412 and the 50‑day SMA of 30,333, while still sitting above the 200‑day SMA of 26,099, indicating a clear long‑term bullish trend. The RSI of 40.7 suggests the stock is not overbought, offering room for upside, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at short‑term pressure near the support level of 28,434. Volume is on an increasing trajectory, reinforcing the momentum behind the price move, and the current price is only about 2.9% below the consensus upside target of ~30,700. On the valuation side, the forward PE of 9.2 is well below the industry average of 17.3, but the price‑to‑book of 173.5 is exceptionally high, flagging a potential overvaluation on a balance‑sheet basis. The dividend yield of 5.5% with a payout ratio of 54% is attractive, though the negative operating cash flow of ZAc ‑89.5 bn raises questions about earnings quality. The company boasts a massive cash pile of ZAc 669.6 bn against debt of ZAc 101.4 bn, providing a strong liquidity cushion. Market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone, volatility sits at 25.9% (30‑day), and the beta of 0.49 points to modest systematic risk, all of which combine to paint a nuanced picture of a fundamentally solid yet technically mixed opportunity.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and negative histogram signal near‑term weakness
  • Price hovering just above key support at 28,434
  • Increasing volume supporting the current price level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE of 9.2 versus industry average of 17.3 indicates earnings undervaluation
  • Attractive 5.5% dividend yield with a moderate payout ratio
  • Bullish SMA alignment (20‑day > 50‑day > 200‑day) confirming trend continuation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Robust cash reserves (ZAc 669.6 bn) provide a strong balance‑sheet foundation
  • Consistent profitability (ROE 18%) and solid dividend policy
  • Long‑term growth potential from diversified banking and fintech services in South Africa and abroad

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.90%
Profit Margin27.88%
P/E Ratio10.8
ROE18.12%
ROA1.62%
P/B Ratio173.5
Op. Cash FlowZAC-89462996992
Industry P/E17.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI40.7
SupportZAC 28,434.00
ResistanceZAC 32,787.00
MA 20ZAC 31,411.95
MA 50ZAC 30,333.16
MA 200ZAC 26,099.18
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index80.71

Valuation

Target PriceZAC 30,741.00
Upside/Downside2.92%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.54%

Risk Assessment

Beta-3.10
Volatility25.85%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.