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SASA:BISTSASA POLYESTER SANAYI FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-04 - not real-time

TRY 2.25

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Sasa Polyester Sanayi A.S. trades at TRY 2.25, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 15.1%. With RSI at 38.6 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at TRY 2.22 up to resistance at TRY 2.62.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
The composite risk read is 8/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 44.9%, a beta of 0.05 and a maximum drawdown of 50.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 2/10 long-term conviction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 2.62
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 2.62
  • 30-day volatility of 44.9%

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • 30-day volatility of 44.9%
  • Maximum drawdown of 50.8%
  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price2.25
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.6
SupportTRY 2.22
ResistanceTRY 2.62
MA 20TRY 2.35
MA 50TRY 2.43
MA 200TRY 2.62
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index96.11

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility44.95%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.