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SANB11:BMFBOVESPABanco Santander (Brasil) S.A. Units Cons of 1 Sh + 1 Pfd Sh Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

R$27.13

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SANB11 is trading at R$27.13, just above the 20‑day SMA of 27.14 but well below the 50‑day (28.86) and 200‑day (31.02) averages, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term bearish framework. The RSI sits at 42.6, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD line has turned bullish (line above signal) and the histogram is positive, hinting at a possible bottoming reversal near the identified support of R$26.38. Volume trends are increasing, reinforcing the technical signal that buying interest may be building as the price approaches resistance at R$27.84.
Fundamentally, the ETF offers an attractive dividend yield of 6.52% and a forward P/E of 5.37, well below its trailing P/E of 13.26, indicating cheap valuation. The price‑to‑book ratio of 0.80 further underscores potential undervaluation, and the low beta (~0.81) suggests limited volatility relative to the market. However, the broader market sentiment is in an "Extreme Greed" phase (Fear & Greed Index 89.86), which could amplify price swings in the near term.
Overall, the ETF faces high sector concentration risk as it tracks a single Brazilian bank, but tracking error is negligible and liquidity is strong, with daily volumes around 3 million shares. Currency exposure is moderate for foreign investors, while domestic investors are largely insulated. Given the mix of technical support, strong dividend yield, and attractive valuation, a cautious hold stance is advised short‑term, transitioning to a buy outlook for medium to long horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bullish MACD divergence
  • Neutral RSI and high market optimism (Extreme Greed)
  • Increasing volume suggesting potential accumulation

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High dividend yield of 6.52% providing income cushion
  • Undervalued forward P/E of 5.37 and price‑to‑book below 1
  • Potential rebound from support as valuation improves

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend policy and low beta indicating stability
  • Fundamental undervaluation with price‑to‑book at 0.80
  • Long‑term growth prospects of Brazil's banking sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Avg Daily Volume3,013,740
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.6
SupportR$26.38
ResistanceR$27.84
MA 20R$27.14
MA 50R$28.86
MA 200R$31.02
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Risk Assessment

Beta0.81
Volatility22.23%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.