ODDS:CFIPCR BLSTR DG ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
$24.29
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Despite a bearish trend indicated by the price sitting below the 50‑day (26.11) and 200‑day (30.15) SMAs, the ETF remains just above the 20‑day SMA (24.20), suggesting a modest near‑term support. The RSI at 42 points to neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is labeled bullish, hinting at a potential short‑term upside. The support level at $23.36 offers a floor that could limit further declines if buying interest resurfaces. The current market price of $24.285 sits comfortably above this support, providing a modest cushion. However, the fund’s YTD return of –15.98% and a recent max drawdown of –32.44% underscore significant downside risk, compounded by a 30‑day volatility of roughly 29% and a beta of 0.86, which signals sensitivity to market moves. Liquidity is a concern, with average daily volume under 1,000 shares and the current price hovering near the resistance level of $24.70, just below the previous close of $24.70.
On the risk side, the ETF’s tiny asset base (≈ $3.9 M) and concentration in the digital entertainment niche amplify sector‑specific exposure, while the low expense ratio of 0.49% is a modest positive. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.49% is competitive within the technology space, helping preserve net returns. Zero tracking error indicates the ETF closely mirrors its index, which is favorable for investors seeking pure exposure. Given the high beta of 1.32 over the past three years, the ETF may amplify market swings, heightening risk during volatile periods. Overall, the combination of high volatility, thin liquidity, and sector concentration suggests a higher risk profile.
On the risk side, the ETF’s tiny asset base (≈ $3.9 M) and concentration in the digital entertainment niche amplify sector‑specific exposure, while the low expense ratio of 0.49% is a modest positive. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.49% is competitive within the technology space, helping preserve net returns. Zero tracking error indicates the ETF closely mirrors its index, which is favorable for investors seeking pure exposure. Given the high beta of 1.32 over the past three years, the ETF may amplify market swings, heightening risk during volatile periods. Overall, the combination of high volatility, thin liquidity, and sector concentration suggests a higher risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical positioning below key SMAs
- High 30‑day volatility and recent drawdown
- Thin trading volume increasing liquidity risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD signal suggesting potential rebound
- Underlying secular growth in digital entertainment
- Competitive expense ratio preserving net returns
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term demand for digital content and streaming
- Zero tracking error ensuring index fidelity
- Moderate expense ratio relative to peers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.49%
AUM$3.9M
Inception Date2022-04-07
Avg Daily Volume830
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.08%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.3
Support$23.36
Resistance$24.70
MA 20$24.20
MA 50$26.11
MA 200$30.15
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Risk Assessment
Beta0.86
Volatility29.42%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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ETFThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.