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SAMPO:OMXHEXSampo Oyj Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

€9.25

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sampo Oyj is trading just above its recent short‑term support level and below its longer‑term resistance, with price action confirming a bearish market direction despite a modest bullish MACD histogram and a neutral‑to‑slightly‑overbought RSI reading.
The equity exhibits an exceptionally low beta, indicating minimal market‑wide volatility, while its 30‑day price swing volatility remains elevated, suggesting heightened short‑term price fluctuation.
Fundamentally, the stock’s price‑to‑earnings multiple sits below the industry average, the price‑to‑book ratio is comfortably above one, and the dividend yield is solid with a payout ratio well under the half‑point threshold, all pointing to a value‑oriented, dividend‑sustainable profile.
Recent material news of a sizable share repurchase programme and continued top‑line growth in private and SME lines provide additional upside catalysts, reinforcing the case for a value‑biased stance with dividend appeal.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price positioned near short‑term support with bearish trend signals
  • low beta and elevated short‑term volatility
  • decreasing volume indicating waning liquidity

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • share buyback announcement adding demand pressure
  • solid dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • value‑oriented valuation metrics relative to peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • persistent undervaluation versus industry PE benchmark
  • stable dividend sustainability supported by cash flow
  • ongoing growth in private and SME insurance segments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-7.80%
Profit Margin15.62%
P/E Ratio15.2
ROE21.26%
ROA5.18%
Debt/Equity29.55
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash Flow€969.0M
Free Cash Flow€708.2M
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI57.9
Support€8.64
Resistance€9.31
MA 20€8.97
MA 50€9.15
MA 200€9.59
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value€9.59
Target Price€10.47
Upside/Downside13.26%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.89%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.03
Volatility17.91%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.