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SAIL:NSESTEEL AUTHOR INDIA FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-25 - not real-time

₹184.59

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Steel Authority of India Limited trades at INR 184.59, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 10.9%. Relative strength is 66.0 — approaching overbought — and the MACD signal is bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at INR 158.73 and resistance at INR 186.89.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as tight.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 29.3%, a beta of -0.18 and a maximum drawdown of 21.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — buy short-term against hold longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.

Top Market Events

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Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 162.52
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 162.52
  • MACD momentum is positive

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Maximum drawdown of 21.9%
  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • 30-day volatility of 29.3%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price184.59
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI66.0
Support₹158.73
Resistance₹186.89
MA 20₹173.16
MA 50₹170.24
MA 200₹162.52
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.84

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.18
Volatility29.29%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.