SAHOL:BISTHACI OMER SABANCI HOLDING FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-04 - not real-time
TRY 90.70
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at 90.7 TRY, comfortably below its 20‑day (93.6) and 50‑day (94.6) SMAs and even under the 200‑day SMA (91.2), indicating a short‑term pullback within a neutral trend. RSI sits at 44, just shy of the midpoint, while the MACD line remains bearish (-1.49) with a modest negative histogram, suggesting limited upside momentum. Nonetheless, the price is near the identified support at 85.1 TRY and well below the resistance of 102.4 TRY, offering a cushion against further declines. Volume has remained stable, and the 30‑day volatility is elevated at 37.6%, reflecting a fairly active market environment. Fundamentally, the forward P/E of 3.28 versus a trailing P/E of 23.44 signals strong earnings expectations, and a price‑to‑book of 0.49 points to a potentially undervalued balance sheet. The dividend yield of 1.52% adds modest income, while the market cap of ~187 bn TRY underscores its large‑cap status. Investor sentiment is buoyant, as evidenced by an “Extreme Greed” reading on the Fear‑Greed Index (92.75), which may fuel buying pressure despite the technical bearishness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support at 85.1 TRY
- Bearish MACD and RSI below 50
- Stable volume with high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E of 3.28 indicating strong earnings outlook
- Low price‑to‑book ratio (0.49) suggesting undervaluation
- Extreme Greed sentiment supporting demand
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Diversified industrial and financial portfolio
- Large market cap and solid dividend yield
- Potential macroeconomic recovery in Turkey boosting earnings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price90.7
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI44.0
SupportTRY 85.10
ResistanceTRY 102.40
MA 20TRY 93.60
MA 50TRY 94.65
MA 200TRY 91.20
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.75
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.15
Volatility37.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.