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SABIC:NASDAQDUBAISaudi Basic Industries Corp. Futures Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

SAR 127.20

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SABIC Agri‑Nutrients is trading at SAR 127.2, just above the 200‑day SMA (SAR 126.7) but well below the 20‑day (SAR 135.4) and 50‑day (SAR 142.9) averages, indicating short‑term weakness despite a longer‑term base. The RSI of 27 signals an oversold condition, while the MACD remains in a bearish configuration, suggesting further downside pressure unless buying interest materialises. Volume trends are increasing, which could provide the liquidity needed for a bounce from the identified support at SAR 125.1. The stock’s beta is exceptionally low (0.13), implying limited sensitivity to market swings, and the Fear‑Greed Index sits at an “Extreme Greed” 89.86, reflecting strong market appetite for risk.
Fundamentally, the company offers an attractive 5.5% dividend yield and a trailing P/E of 13.3, well below many peers, while being the most favored petrochemical play among Saudi equity funds in Q1 2026. These factors, combined with a moderate volatility of 20.8% over the past 30 days and a manageable max drawdown of –20.8%, support a view that the stock is undervalued and positioned for a medium‑ to long‑term upside as demand for agri‑nutrients strengthens.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above key support
  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Increasing volume providing potential buying pressure

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive dividend yield of 5.5%
  • Valuation metrics (P/E ~13) below sector average
  • Favored status among equity funds in Q1 2026

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Structural demand growth for agri‑nutrients
  • Stable cash flow and low market beta
  • Consistent dividend policy supporting shareholder returns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price127.2
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI27.0
SupportSAR 125.10
ResistanceSAR 143.30
MA 20SAR 135.37
MA 50SAR 142.90
MA 200SAR 126.71
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Risk Assessment

Beta0.13
Volatility20.80%
Sector RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.