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SAABB:BXSaab AB Class B Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

SEK 523.40

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Saab AB is trading at SEK 523.4, comfortably below its 20‑day (527.7), 50‑day (560.8) and 200‑day (573.4) moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. RSI at 45 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive, giving a brief bullish signal that is likely to be eclipsed by the overall downtrend and decreasing volume. Volatility is exceptionally high at nearly 50% over the past 30 days, and the stock’s beta of 0.42 indicates low correlation with the broader market, making price swings more idiosyncratic. Fundamentally, the company posts robust revenue growth of 21% and a solid ROE of 15.7%, but a trailing P/E of 43.7 versus the industry average of 30.6, combined with a DCF fair value of SEK 239, points to significant overvaluation. The dividend yield is modest at 0.46% with a comfortable payout ratio of 27%, suggesting the dividend is sustainable despite the lofty price.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
  • Technical indicators pointing to continued downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong 21% revenue growth and solid cash flow generation
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Defence and aerospace exposure offers stable, government‑backed demand
  • Geographic diversification across Europe, US, UK, and Australia
  • Persistent overvaluation may limit upside, but fundamentals remain resilient

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth21.40%
Profit Margin7.86%
P/E Ratio43.7
ROE15.68%
ROA4.43%
Debt/Equity32.06
P/B Ratio6.3
Op. Cash FlowSEK12.7B
Free Cash FlowSEK4.1B
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.1
SupportSEK 485.65
ResistanceSEK 581.30
MA 20SEK 527.66
MA 50SEK 560.78
MA 200SEK 573.35
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueSEK 239.22
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.42
Volatility49.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.