SAABB:BXSaab AB Class B Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
SEK 523.40
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Saab AB is trading at SEK 523.4, comfortably below its 20‑day (527.7), 50‑day (560.8) and 200‑day (573.4) moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. RSI at 45 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive, giving a brief bullish signal that is likely to be eclipsed by the overall downtrend and decreasing volume. Volatility is exceptionally high at nearly 50% over the past 30 days, and the stock’s beta of 0.42 indicates low correlation with the broader market, making price swings more idiosyncratic. Fundamentally, the company posts robust revenue growth of 21% and a solid ROE of 15.7%, but a trailing P/E of 43.7 versus the industry average of 30.6, combined with a DCF fair value of SEK 239, points to significant overvaluation. The dividend yield is modest at 0.46% with a comfortable payout ratio of 27%, suggesting the dividend is sustainable despite the lofty price.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
- Technical indicators pointing to continued downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong 21% revenue growth and solid cash flow generation
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Defence and aerospace exposure offers stable, government‑backed demand
- Geographic diversification across Europe, US, UK, and Australia
- Persistent overvaluation may limit upside, but fundamentals remain resilient
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth21.40%
Profit Margin7.86%
P/E Ratio43.7
ROE15.68%
ROA4.43%
Debt/Equity32.06
P/B Ratio6.3
Op. Cash FlowSEK12.7B
Free Cash FlowSEK4.1B
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.1
SupportSEK 485.65
ResistanceSEK 581.30
MA 20SEK 527.66
MA 50SEK 560.78
MA 200SEK 573.35
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueSEK 239.22
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.46%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.42
Volatility49.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.