RYAAY:NASDAQRyanair Holdings plc Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-08 - not real-time
$65.51
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Ryanair posted a record FY26 profit and solid revenue growth, while maintaining a modest dividend payout and a low payout ratio, suggesting earnings are comfortably supporting the dividend. The DCF model indicates a fair value substantially above the current price, implying upside potential, and the analyst consensus is a strong‑buy with a median target near $78.
Technically, the stock trades above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, the MACD histogram is positive, RSI sits in the upper‑mid range, and volume is rising, all pointing to continued bullish momentum despite a neutral overall trend and elevated 30‑day volatility.
Technically, the stock trades above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, the MACD histogram is positive, RSI sits in the upper‑mid range, and volume is rising, all pointing to continued bullish momentum despite a neutral overall trend and elevated 30‑day volatility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD crossover
- Price above short‑term moving averages
- Increasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Record FY26 earnings and 4% traffic outlook for FY27
- DCF‑derived upside of roughly 15%+
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Operating margin pressure despite profit growth
- High industry volatility and beta above 1
- Continued exposure to European regulatory and economic cycles
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.40%
Profit Margin13.98%
P/E Ratio14.1
ROE25.37%
ROA7.97%
Debt/Equity14.77
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash Flow$3.7B
Free Cash Flow$-1129049984
Industry P/E31.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI61.3
Support$55.75
Resistance$67.13
MA 20$62.69
MA 50$59.20
MA 200$63.14
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.25
Valuation
Fair Value$100.64
Target Price$76.30
Upside/Downside16.47%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.49%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.22
Volatility33.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.