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RY:TSXRoyal Bank of Canada Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

CA$221.95

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Royal Bank of Canada continues to demonstrate solid fundamentals, with earnings growth outpacing the banking sector and a dividend yield near 3% supported by a payout ratio under 45%. Recent earnings beat driven by strong wealth‑management performance and record‑breaking numbers reinforce the buy consensus from analysts, and the consensus target price sits well above the current market level, suggesting upside potential.
Technically, the stock sits below its short‑term moving averages, the RSI indicates oversold conditions, and the MACD has turned bearish, while volume has been tapering, pointing to a near‑term consolidation around the identified support zone. With a low beta and modest 30‑day volatility, the overall risk profile is defensive, making the shares attractive for investors seeking a blend of value and growth with reliable dividend income.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume suggest limited upside in the immediate horizon
  • Price positioned near identified support level
  • Oversold RSI may cushion against sharp declines

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus target implies ~10% upside
  • Wealth‑management earnings beat supports earnings momentum
  • Undervalued valuation relative to peers and attractive dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Stable dividend with sustainable payout ratio
  • Low beta and defensive risk profile for long‑run holdings
  • Blend of growth in revenue and value‑oriented valuation metrics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.50%
Profit Margin33.14%
P/E Ratio15.3
ROE15.39%
ROA0.93%
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowCA$-38312001536
Industry P/E17.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.6
SupportCA$218.25
ResistanceCA$239.27
MA 20CA$231.19
MA 50CA$232.26
MA 200CA$205.20
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Target PriceCA$245.87
Upside/Downside10.78%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.95%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.51
Volatility17.40%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.