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RWE:XETRRWE AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time

€57.12

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

RWE shares are trading at €57.12, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of €53.30 and the 50‑day SMA of €52.11, while the 200‑day SMA sits at €42.01, underscoring a strong bullish bias. The MACD line (0.94) sits above its signal (0.72) and the histogram is positive, confirming upward momentum, although the RSI at 67.2 hints at a nearing overbought condition. With a beta of 0.23 the stock shows markedly low market volatility, yet 30‑day price swings remain elevated at over 32%, reflecting sector‑specific dynamics. Valuation metrics are attractive: a trailing P/E of 19.3 is well below the industry average of 23.3, the price‑to‑book stands at 1.10, and the dividend yield of 2.16% is supported by a modest 37% payout ratio and ample cash generation.
Fundamentally, RWE reports solid profitability (13.9% net margin) and robust free cash flow (€9.66 bn), but revenue has contracted by 32.7% year‑over‑year as the company phases out lignite. Analysts remain optimistic, with 19 coverage houses rating the stock a “Buy” and maintaining targets around €57‑60, reinforced by recent Bernstein “Outperform” and Barclays “Overweight” calls that highlight the company’s leading position in offshore wind auctions. The combination of a sustainable dividend, low leverage relative to cash, and a strategic shift toward renewables positions RWE as a compelling value play with upside potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup with SMA crossover and positive MACD
  • Proximity to resistance level around €57.48
  • Strong dividend yield and low beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to peers (PE below industry average)
  • Positive analyst coverage (Buy/Overweight) and renewable growth outlook
  • Sustainable dividend and solid cash flow generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic shift toward offshore wind and other renewables
  • Low market sensitivity (beta 0.23) and stable earnings base
  • Long‑term dividend sustainability supported by strong balance sheet

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-32.70%
Profit Margin13.87%
P/E Ratio19.3
ROE8.99%
ROA1.78%
Debt/Equity47.37
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow€5.0B
Free Cash Flow€9.7B
Industry P/E23.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.2
Support€49.17
Resistance€57.48
MA 20€53.30
MA 50€52.11
MA 200€42.01
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index73.07

Valuation

Fair Value€183.24
Target Price€55.87
Upside/Downside-2.19%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility32.40%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.