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RVMD:NASDAQRevolution Medicines, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-29 - not real-time

$144.83

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Revolution Medicines (RVMD) has surged to $144.83, comfortably above its 20‑day ($124.64), 50‑day ($109.19) and 200‑day ($74.79) simple moving averages, signaling strong momentum. Technical indicators reinforce this bullish bias: the RSI sits at 66.9 (near‑term overbought but still rising), the MACD line (10.90) exceeds its signal (10.64) with a positive histogram, and trading volume is on an increasing trend. The stock trades near its 52‑week high of $155.70, with clear support at $94 and upside potential of roughly 20% toward the median analyst target of $173. Recent news highlights a successful Phase 3 trial of daraxonrasib, driving a 41% one‑day rally and contributing to an “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 89.6). Despite a cash pile of $2.0 bn, the company remains loss‑making with negative EBITDA and free cash flow, high price‑to‑book (17.5×) and no dividend, underscoring reliance on future clinical milestones.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup (price above all SMAs, MACD bullish, RSI strong)
  • Positive Phase 3 trial data driving immediate price lift
  • Increasing volume confirming buyer interest

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Projected upside toward analyst median target (~$173)
  • Robust cash position supporting continued R&D runway
  • Potential regulatory approvals for RAS‑targeted therapies

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High valuation multiples relative to cash‑burn and negative earnings
  • Dependence on future clinical success and regulatory outcomes
  • Sector volatility and biotech-specific risk factors

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-27.6
ROE-58.07%
ROA-30.08%
Debt/Equity26.18
P/B Ratio17.5
Op. Cash Flow$-897740992
Free Cash Flow$-523279008
Industry P/E25.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI66.9
Support$94.00
Resistance$155.70
MA 20$124.64
MA 50$109.19
MA 200$74.79
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.59

Valuation

Target Price$174.30
Upside/Downside20.35%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.06
Volatility112.02%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.