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RVMD:NASDAQRevolution Medicines, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-07 - not real-time

$149.23

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Revolution Medicines is trading comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, with the price also well above the long‑term average, supporting a bullish market bias. RSI is hovering near the neutral zone, indicating limited overbought pressure, while the MACD histogram has turned negative, suggesting emerging bearish momentum in the short term. Volume is on an upward trend and the broader market sentiment is in the "Extreme Greed" zone, reflecting strong investor enthusiasm. Recent material news includes an FDA "safe to proceed" letter for the daraxonrasib program and a consensus of buy ratings from analysts, with median price targets implying a modest upside from current levels. Despite a cash pile that comfortably exceeds its debt, the company reports no revenue, sizable operating losses, and a high price‑to‑book multiple, underscoring the speculative nature of the valuation. The combination of a high‑beta, elevated 30‑day volatility and a lack of dividend further accentuates the risk profile, while the pipeline’s potential remains the primary catalyst for upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price approaching near‑term resistance levels
  • MACD indicating bearish short‑term momentum
  • Recent modest pullback after strong rally

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • FDA safe‑to‑proceed letter unlocking expanded access program
  • Analyst consensus of buy ratings and upside price targets
  • Strong cash position supporting continued R&D execution

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Pipeline of RAS‑targeted therapies addressing high‑unmet‑need cancers
  • Potential for market‑changing outcomes in late‑stage trials
  • Long‑term cash runway despite current operating losses

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-26.5
ROE-76.67%
ROA-37.53%
Debt/Equity29.15
P/B Ratio19.9
Op. Cash Flow$-1057470976
Free Cash Flow$-606370880
Industry P/E27.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.3
Support$140.53
Resistance$166.50
MA 20$151.00
MA 50$136.08
MA 200$89.95
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Valuation

Target Price$186.33
Upside/Downside24.86%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.15
Volatility54.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.